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marksbell.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Minneota, mostly studying nuclear weapons, international security, and US foreign policy. Opinions mine. www.markbell.org
23 posts 1,341 followers 924 following
Prolific Poster

"Developing nuclear weapons to counter North Korea is not 'off the table' for South Korea, foreign minister Cho Tae-yul stated on Wednesday"

Not trying to alarm people but just noting that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, among their other important functions, is also one of the small number of people explicitly designated for translating Presidential nuclear strike orders into reality. www.doctrine.af.mil/Portals/61/d...

Was literally talking to a former senior UK MoD person involved in nuclear matters who was terrified Trump would figure out the Trident common pool could be leverage with Starmer—now this in the FT www.ft.com/content/762c...

Wouldn't be a strictly new or US-specific phenomenon: expansionism backed by nuclear weapons has underpinned US post-WWII grand strategy. Ch4 of my book makes the argument... www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...

Now recruiting ➡️ post-doctoral students, tenure track junior faculty, or doctoral students studying nuclear security. Spend a year working at RAND on policy-relevant research with the Stanton Nuclear Security Fellows Program. Apply now by February 10: www.rand.org/jobs/stanton...

I sat down (virtually) with @marksbell.bsky.social to discuss his theory of nuclear opportunism, the nuclear lessons of the Russo-Ukrainian war, and relevant issues pertaining to the nuclear order. youtu.be/pa0FIoHW37Q?...

Folks, the coming week, CSSPR will host two important conversations. I will speak with @marksbell.bsky.social on nuclear opportunism, and Ejaz Haider will discuss with @radchenko.bsky.social the impact of Russian history on Putin's strategy.

It’s here!! My essay with Stacie Goddard on pathways of nuclear nonuse @iojournal.bsky.social

In the next episode of the CSSPR Webinar Series, I look forward to hosting Dr. @marksbell.bsky.social for a conversation on his work on the construct of nuclear opportunism.

The advance copy of my book “Under the Nuclear Shadow” has arrived! Celebrating with my wonderful fiancé @aaronbateman.bsky.social in my hometown makes this milestone extra special. Official release date for the book is just around the corner on January 7!

Mara Karlin: “We have been the closest to nuclear use over the last three years than in either of our lifetimes…. The fact that we have not seen nuclear use… has been due to a very delicate and complex set of [senior US-Russia] engagements... [Non-use] didn’t just happen.”

Interested in nuclear weapons and their effects on democratic states? Check out my latest article in EJIR !

Good overview of the SLCM-N debate with comments from Bradley Martin @rand.org. www.twz.com/sea/pros-and...

Here a starter pack for people working on foreign policy. Contact me to add you. go.bsky.app/GysdG6U

So where do things stand on this whole question of whether Russia launched an ICBM against Ukraine or not? Here's a short 🧵 wrapping up a lot of good observations by experts, plus a few of my own....

The new nuclear "Basic Principles" just dropped (h/t @dvsteff.bsky.social). The key change is that it's the aggression that "poses critical threat to the sovereignty and/or territorial integrity" instead of "puts the very existence of the state in jeopardy" publication.pravo.gov.ru/document/000...

My new piece on understanding AUKUS through its institutional form, a minilateral grouping, with Lai-Ha Chan - feel free to DM me if you don’t have library access! url.au.m.mimecastprotect.com/s/4WgpCP7yBl...

Two new pieces about nuclear weapons (about Russia-Ukraine but also more broadly about how much we can expect to know about how nuclear weapons affect international politics). First, an open access piece about the nuclear dimensions of the Russia-Ukraine war www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Starter Pack for Nuclear Weapons History and Politics. Most of these folks are within the broader #NukeSky world. If I've missed you, please let me know if you would like to be added or suggest anyone else who should be on this! 👉 go.bsky.app/KDiibQK

Nuclear policy starter pack for folks coming from other socials. Will update regularly. go.bsky.app/BWGGzgX

since no one asked, we are hiring. Come work at @fedsci.bsky.social and with me, @nukestrat.bsky.social @mattkorda.bsky.social and a terrific team. Space, AI, cyber, autonomy expertise of particular interest. fas.org/career/assoc...

Happy to share I've signed a contract with Cornell University Press for my book When Rebels Win: Ideology, Statebuilding, and Power after Rebel Victory in Civil War. It should be out in 2025 alongside great new related books by Philip Martin, @thedapperchef.bsky.social, & others!

Chicagoland: Please join @profsaunders.bsky.social and me for joint book events on May 8 at UChicago at noon (feat. @carsonaust.bsky.social) and Evanston Public Library at 6pm (thanks to @danigilbert.bsky.social et al.). Tell your friends!

Add Minnesota to the list of schools that have found a peaceful solution.

I gave a talk yesterday at Minnesota's Political Methodology Seminar on how to train social science PhDs for academic and non-academic data science careers. The slides are here: shorturl.at/bhmsw.

Next Week: "The 1969 Nuclear Crisis: Confusion, Contingency, and China" w/ David Logan and Joseph Torigian RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/1969-...

Congratulations to my fantastic UMN colleague @tanishafazal.bsky.social on her amazing new book on military medicine and war!

Nuclear and diplomatic history nerds: This is amazing stuff just released tonight in the new FRUS volume on 1977-1980 history.state.gov/historicaldo...

UMN Humphrey School of Public Affairs searching for an Associate Professor of Global Policy - open to a broad range of interests including international security, global governance, humanitarianism, intl aid, etc and in a great place/state to work and live in. polisky www.hhh.umn.edu/employment

Pleased to contribute to a new H-Diplo/RJISSF policy roundtable about nuclear weapons and the war in Ukraine. I argue the war in Ukraine is showcasing old rather than new lessons about nuclear weapons (and that's mostly a good thing). polisky #nukesky networks.h-net.org/group/discus...

An article I wish I never had to write, “Imperialism, supremacy, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine”, is the most read article of 2023 in @cspjournal.bsky.social Check out also the work of other colleagues, including @terezahendl.bsky.social PoliSky

New in @iojournal.bsky.social w Jost @ericmin.bsky.social & Schub: We combine computational methods with uniquely rich Cold War archival evidence to study how advisers matter in foreign policy. Where advisers stand doesn't just depend on where they sit. www.cambridge.org/core/journal... polisky

Excited to share my latest in Foreign Affairs. Deterrence can fail if rivals believe the U.S. would respond somewhere but can't or that it could but won't. This has big implications for the ongoing debate about Ukraine aid and its impact on deterring China. www.foreignaffairs.com/china/ukrain...

So happy and proud! Thank you Stanton Foundation for your trust in us and our work. 🎊🍾😊

I'm so glad to be over here at last! #PoliSky ICYMI: My first book, Nuclear Decisions, is out with Oxford University Press. I argue that leaders make political decisions that shape the course of state nuclear weapons programs. They make these decisions not just because of security.

Applications for BTG's 2024 International Policy Summer Institute (IPSI) are now open! Professors (all ranks) and postdocs interested in policy outreach and public engagement are encouraged to apply! ALL are welcome. Please share with your networks! bridgingthegapproject.org/programs/ipsi/

Dartmouth's Dickey Center is now accepting applications for the 24-25 Postdoctoral fellowships in U.S. foreign policy and international security. Fellows can expect intellectual engagement, policy-oriented visitors/workshops, and time for research. Apply! dickey.dartmouth.edu/programs/sec...

What if universities are having civil, nuanced discussions of events in Israel and Gaza, but they are happening in classrooms, office hours, and dorms, not out in the public view of lazy reporters and not in a way that fits the narrative people want to tell?

Tonight in 1962, as the Cuban Missile Crisis escalated toward confrontation, a sentry on patrol at Duluth Air Force Base, Minnesota, thought he saw someone climbing the perimeter fence. He shot at the intruder and activated the base sabotage alarm, which by design automatically triggered ...

An interview with Kelly Greenhill, author of Weapons of Mass Migration, on how migration can be a tool of war. @goodauth.bsky.social Polisky goodauthority.org/news/how-sho...