Profile avatar
materialactive.bsky.social
65 posts 9 followers 13 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
comment in response to post
political polling seems to clearly correlate with results pretty strongly, even if I'll grant that, because you have to do turnout modeling, they're generally much less precise than an exit poll, or polls that are simply aimed at gathering info on the opinions of society as a whole.
comment in response to post
If you're just saying you don't trust THIS poll, that's a position I'm more sympathetic to, and I'd indicate instead that while we simply don't get enough information about polling methodology from most political pollsters...
comment in response to post
Oooh, I'd love to hear your reasons why the General Social Survey is not a valid way of estimating information about the society we live in. Please, tell me more. While you're at it, you can try to explain exit polling to me.
comment in response to post
That's actually not how polling works. As long as a sample is relatively representative and the respondents selected from the population at random, then you *can* actually extrapolate, with a certain level of confidence (within an inversely relates margin of error).
comment in response to post
Because nonviolence is a million times harder if nobody is willing to put themselves on the line, and in my view, nonviolence is already at the very limit of what humans can accomplish in terms of difficulty WITH the willingness to let people take risks.
comment in response to post
and then take bravely follow through with whatever your risk tolerance is. None of this means you won't randomly get shot or have a car driven into you, of course; all protest is dangerous. But we need to tolerate the idea that other people might take more risk than us.
comment in response to post
incredibly effective. My suggestion, if you go to a protest as a nonviolent activist, is decide how much risk you're willing to take ahead of time (and it's OK if that's none! There's plenty to be gained by yelling at politicians at a city council meeting after a police crackdown!)
comment in response to post
Where they think if they just don't violence, they'll get what they want, and in fact, nonviolence is the harder path in a lot of ways, including the fact that it is built on self-sacrifice. Also, Solving the attention problem is hard! And yet, creativity and highlighting the state's violence can be
comment in response to post
I think Rev Arson gets it wrong when suggesting that American protest experts "haven't accomplished anything in their lifetimes", and I think it's a pretty bad misunderstanding of how protests work, but I do think that America's nonviolence "experts" seem to have a cargo cult around "nonviolence"
comment in response to post
He was told not to return, which is, plainly, prior restraint on speech.
comment in response to post
I saw this used by medics to great effect in 2020. I don't know why people are dragging Sky here - every tactic that has *a* use case has *limited* use cases, and relaying viable tactics in the abstract is a thing that the internet can do well in protest contexts.
comment in response to post
It's surely more dangerous at night, but it's also when things get done! Cities put curfews in place for a reason to try to kill protests! And protestors violate them for a reason!
comment in response to post
The idea that the law is a moral guide to mutual aid organizing would kill a lot of people, to be blunt, not least because cities across the country are often trying to ban mutual aid directly. But, uh, narcing on yourself is *highly* counterproductive.
comment in response to post
Damn, forcefemmed by your dating history.
comment in response to post
I think this one is self-enforcing. A court would be needed to impose penalties for violating the tariffs, and if tariffs continue to be illegally imposed, the outcome is probably mass noncompliance, esp bc any company that didn't would be at a competitive disadvantage. No man rules alone.
comment in response to post
????? No. Like, one, Tree of Life was way worse, this shit isn't *new*, and two, the number of black people killed by cops this year numbers in the hundreds. Like antisemitism is bad! But also antiblackness is still important, and antisemitism isn't new!
comment in response to post
This isn't "The NYT tortures kids to death", it's "that's the equivalent of the argument the article makes.
comment in response to post
That "skepticism" is as legitimate as vaccine "skepticism", and the end result of it is teenagers being tortured, sometimes until they die. If any member of a group engaging arguing for a thing is the same as the most radical implementation of that argument, then the NYT tortures children to death
comment in response to post
Corbyn was *purged* though. And the people that purged him did it for disingenuous reasons - trumped up charges of antisemitism - that they themselves do not seem to care about; Labour is now a party of bigotry on trans issues, it's not like anyone still in the party can plausibly claim to care.
comment in response to post
>ex-trans I'm in hell. It's literally "ex-gay" all over again, word for word.
comment in response to post
It's antisemitic when Zionist do it and it's antisemitic when anyone else does it.
comment in response to post
Can't believe you get flagged for impersonations for having a joke @. This site sucks.
comment in response to post
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dichaet...
comment in response to post
This seems like a bad time for you, so going to bed sounds like a smart idea. Hope you sleep well!
comment in response to post
Marxism is an antinationalist doctrine :( they're doing it wrong!
comment in response to post
But these guys are bullies, and "don't respond to bullies" doesn't work, not least because if an organized response doesn't take place, a group of 18 year olds is likely to generate many *unorganized* responses.
comment in response to post
A sense that your community doesn't care that a guy shows up to tell you that he thinks you should be tortured forever for being different than him is detrimental to student learning and fostering a welcoming environment. I advise activists get clever in response to the creeps.
comment in response to post
We once made one of the street preachers not show up for months by repeatedly doing performances of the Skyrim monologue by the in-game street preacher as loud as we could in front of him. De-escalated and made him not the center of attention, and also got positive feedback from our community.
comment in response to post
(it's not a problem to be solved, it's a symptom to be managed, so civil disobedience is illsuited to the task) , and generally, I think comical public mockery is more effective than anger, but also, nonresponse isn't the right answer, either.
comment in response to post
2) fostering a sense of campus community in response to provocateurs who often target the most vulnerable members of the community (people who have had abortions, Muslims, Queer students). Not worth getting arrested over
comment in response to post
is 1) a quick win (looks good to be against the guy who is yelling at everyone in a hijab who walks past about how they're going to hell, or has a picture of an alleged "aborted fetus" on his poster, and
comment in response to post
Do either of you know any leftists in real life cause none of this sounds accurate
comment in response to post
Not to say they couldn't have taken a few hours here or there or that aggressive parliamentarianism couldn't have bled a significant portion of time, just that I don't think this would have been a viable method.