msantalucia.bsky.social
I'm a political professional working "down ballot", helping candidates and causes raise money, and building the future of opinion research with AI.
Doing cool things at www.MFStrategies.com and www.TwigIntel.com
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Yes! I was just thinking back on Rdio the other day - such a good platform, especially for the time.
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It's also reasonable to assume that "AI" here is less about automating and more about throwing accountability out the window by delegating to a black box.
This "AI" might only be as sophisticated as ctrl+f based on the results we've seen. Its super power could be legal, not technological.
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The *how* of people connecting with candidates fascinates me. One time I watched a woman start crying after the candidate spoke; she asked him to "put your thoughts in my head". There was probably more going on there, but it's not miles away from the many "reasonable" interactions I've seen.
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We don't do ourselves any favors suggesting that we could become this. It is who we are. Perhaps not individually, but collectively. Nothing says we cannot change. But this is us; it is what we wanted. And unless we loudly repudiate it, it is who we will stay.
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It's reminiscent of the third party candidates who skip local office and go straight to running for president, then complain no one votes for them. Except we have the money, power, and base to actually accomplish something...
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Trump is suspectable to public pressure because the people around him don't share his immunity. How confident are they that their systems will hold and protect them from prosecution? Is it personally worth the risk?
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It was a perceived populism and progressive platform. He built a brand during his unsuccessful run in 2016, then got to run for LG against an unpopular incumbent. Plus he and Wolf made a "fun" odd couple which coincided nicely with the rise of very online politicians and provided plenty of content.
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Have you all done anything with LLM based focus groups where the model is in-context trained on real survey response data? I'd be interested in your thoughts.
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This is to say nothing of whether I agree with Khalil or not. We need to change our standards from joining with like-minded people on specific issues, to joining with those we share a common understanding of democracy with.
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Sure - but isn't it weirder than just secession? I only really found out about Curtis Yarvin this week, but this sounds straight from his dream.
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It's about the day after clips to prove opposition. You need to compete for attention with a screaming lunatic in his prime. Matching shirts ain't it.
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I agree! I think Trump will lose it. I doubt that it matters, but it'll make "great television" and the chance it does anything, as well as clearly positioning Dems, is worth it.
I worry about the availability of spines, though.
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How obsessed with norms is leadership going to be, though. Because what you're proposing could be seen as very rude!
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I prefer circus to authoritarian crackdown, but I suspect we somehow get both because the US needs to do everything our own way.