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quincel.bsky.social
Betting on politics since 2010, trying to separate what I want to happen from what I think will happen.
965 posts 247 followers 235 following
Getting Started
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Posts 5 Comments 45

Gah I knew I should have taken profit when they moved to 1/5! Market swung so far without much polling or other solid evidence. But I just assumed that mean my bet would win, even though I'd assumed before that the market was wrong (hence, y'know, placing the bet).

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

Starsports offering 8/15 on Trump serving a full 2nd term seems pretty generous, and worth a bet even given the long wait.

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

Ladbrokes have the Special 'Nigel Farage to NOT become Leader of the Conservative Party'. Does this pay out when he dies? I presume it pays out on Jan 1 2026, because they also have a Special on him becoming Tory leader this year. But could maybe use clarifying.

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

Rather mad the odds on Starmer leaving office this year are down to 9/2 bet price. I'd very happily take 1/5 on him staying.

submitted 27 days ago • 0 comments

Got to reckon this is a likely Reform gain in a by-election. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

submitted 42 days ago • 1 comment