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sbeverts.bsky.social
Thoughts on Europe and the world. Director of @EUISS.bsky.social - the EU think tank on foreign and security policy. Views here are strictly personal - but we can share them.
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At Munich Security Conference, there was a sharp contrast between US and China. JD Vance shocked Europeans while Wang Yi went out of his way to stress his multilateral credentials. As I comment im the Economist: “Such is the world today that some Europeans found that reasonable in comparison.”

In Ukraine, about Ukraine, with Ukraine.

Absolutely the easiest and best bang-for-buck sustainable strategic-multiplier thing Europe can do in the security realm is to buy Ukrainian-made weapons and invest in the development of Ukraine’s defense industry. 1/

De dreigingen komen nu van alle kanten. Europa staat er alleen voor. Pessimisme domineert. Maar we kunnen onszelf wel degelijk verdedigen- mits we nu doorpakken. Leuk om te gast te zijn bij @ajboekestijn.bsky.social en @robdewijk.bsky.social en te praten over oplossingen.

Europa als Asterix dorp. Dat is het beeld dat nu ontstaat. We moeten niet alleen Oekraïne en onszelf verdedigen maar *kunnen* dat ook. Hoe dan? Luister hier.

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Glad to have done this roundtable on what’s next for the econ security agenda to deal with the multilayered China threat. My main takeaway was that the very good Transatlantic cooperation we have had on this is at serious risk if we fall out over Ukraine, European security, trade etc.

Worse than appeasement. Appeasement is making concessions under threat, hoping that will avoid war (which is usually naive; they'll demand more). After 3 years of war and a million casualties, it's not appeasement. Trump is trying to help Russia's aggression achieve what Russia's military could not.

Like most people of my generation in the West, I was raised with a damaging cognitive bias: the belief in progress, that the good guys won in the end. It didn't equip us for the era of Trump, climate change, and technological advances making our lives worse. Me @financialtimes.com on.ft.com/3QriN6X

Hoe verdedigen we Oekraïne en Europa zónder de Amerikanen? @ajboekestijn.bsky.social en @robdewijk.bsky.social spreken EUISS-directeur @sbeverts.bsky.social. Vragen stellen kan hier! www.bnr.nl/podcast/boek...

Maybe we will have a G6 Summit in Canada in June (ie minus the US) and a G3 (US, RU, CN) to balance it off? Mind blowing, I know, but this is where we are.

Wow, good diplomatic move - Macron reportedly joining in the meeting with Trump by Starmer. Not sure whether anything or anyone can make Trump change course, but this is a strong signal of Europeans moving together to speak to the US.

Trump trying to destroy Zelensky and Ukrainian agency. Therefore, our top priority must be to support Zelensky and Ukrainian agency. With any and all means we can find.

If Europe hopes to safeguard its own sovereignty and values, it must strategically decouple and dramatically lessen its dependence on US tech companies that are either seeking confrontation or are otherwise vulnerable to being weaponised by Washington ↘️https://on.ft.com/4hJDSFF

Europa moet zich verdedigen tegen Rusland. Ook tegen de hybride oorlogsvoering, schrijft Steven Everts, directeur van het EU Instituut voor veiligheidstudies. Naast weerbaarheid moeten we ook aan afschrikken denken. https://buff.ly/437CIzD

Not the first time but still shocking to hear comments from the US president that echo those from the Kremlin. Trump falsely blamed Ukraine for starting the war (Russia invaded) while also wrongly claiming Zelensky has just 4% approval rating (its 52%). www.ft.com/content/2506...

Rusland voert een hybride oorlog en zet alles in: sabotage, spionage, cyber en info manipulatie etc. Bij ons gaat het vooral over werken aan weerbaarheid. Dat is niet genoeg. We moeten ook zelf harder op treden. Opiniestuk in @nrcnl.bsky.social www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

“We should put Ukraine in a position [of strength] where they are able to say no to a bad deal.” Indeed, like the Ukrainians rightly did when presented with an extortionate US ‘plan’ on access to critical minerals. Only the strong can be free. www.euractiv.com/section/poli...

Rusland voert een hybride oorlog en zet alles in: sabotage, spionage, cyber en info manipulatie etc. Bij ons gaat het vooral over werken aan weerbaarheid. Dat is niet genoeg. We moeten ook zelf harder op treden. Opiniestuk in @nrcnl.bsky.social www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

Komen er Europese 'boots on the ground' in Oekraïne, en welke opties heeft zo'n veiligheidsmacht? Patrick Bolder @ppmbolder.bsky.social en Steven Everts @sbeverts.bsky.social schetsen scenario's. "We kunnen niet meer hebben dat Hongarije en Slowakije het tempo bepalen.” www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

„Europa moet eindelijk hom of kuit geven”, zegt Steven Everts, directeur van het EU Instituut voor Veiligheidsstudies in Parijs. „Beslissen waartoe het bereid is voor Oekraïne.” @hanssteketee.bsky.social schetst de opties en obstakels wat Europa militair wel kan en niet: www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

Under Trump, US security commitments are clearly in doubt - not just on Ukraine but towards the whole continent. Europeans therefore need to build up their own deterrence to handle a more aggressive Russia and other threats. Here the latest @euiss.bsky.social brief on the choices ahead:

Europe needs 'a mutual defence pact, outside NATO, extending beyond the EU to include Britain, Norway and others'. Time to bring back the West European Union - which had a stronger commitment than NATO's Art 5? @gideonrachman.bsky.social on de-risking from Trump's America. on.ft.com/4jZMoSB

Sorry UK, I'm all for deeper UK-EU security cooperation at this moment, but forget about this bridge illusion. The EU will speak for itself. And you cannot pretend to speak 'for Europe' and at the same meeting call for tariff carve outs playing on being 'not Europe'. From: on.ft.com/4gLuvnQ

Exactly this. God statements are a great starting point – but only if they're backed up by strategy and policy, and right now they're not 2014 and 2022 wasn't enough of a wake-up call for the Europeans. Will 2025 be?

A bad idea is resurfacing; that Europe has a ‘China option’ to address the Trump tornado. In reality, there isn’t, neither in security nor in economic terms. But the Chinese are clearly trying, talking up concepts they know resonate in the EU

2025 is of course also about what Americans do, but still this broader point stands ↘️

Lots of crisis meetings planned. The test will be how many decisions they lead to on Ukraine, not who attends which meeting, or yet another statement of principles. Roll up your sleeves. Get it done. #MSC2025

FM Sikorsky when asked what he would say to Trump says - US credibility is on the line - how the war in Ukraine ends, will define how China sees the Taiwan issue - and the kicker: Europe controls the Nobel peace prize. If he wants it, the war has to end in a fair and sustainable way. #MSC2025

Instead of merely clamouring for a seat at the proverbial table, Europe needs to figure out what it can do to ensure Ukrainian victory. More military support; use of frozen assets; accelerated EU accession. All these are within our gift and do not depend on US agreement.

Oh wow, Pistorius is really going for it ‘I had a speech prepared on the topic of the conference. But I have to react to the VP’s speech’.

“Europe and the US probably won’t remarry after Donald Trump’s presidency, though they may become friends. How can Europe get through the divorce, and rebuild a life?” Are you saying @simonkuper.bsky.social that it’s time to put on Gloria Gaynor’s I will survive?

My timeline is full of depressing analogies: Munich 1938 and Yalta 1945. And I literally wrote a PhD on the risks of using historical analogies….but here we are.

Good push back from Kaja Kallas calling out Trump for his unilateral, pre-emptive concessions. We must back this up with European commitments to support Ukraine. Alone if needed. US support comes in at 80 bn per year. That’s 0.3% of GDP - within reach. We can seize Russian frozen assets.

So negotiations are starting and US team will be four. Europe should not demand ‘a seat at the table’ but appoint its own team: EU HRVP @kajakallas.bsky.social Plus FMs of FR, DE and UK. And seize the RU frozen assets. Instead of lamenting and listing principles it’s time to act.