snowjohn.bsky.social
Illegitimate son of a scientific bastard.
126 posts
8,122 followers
21,702 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
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She does have a point.
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Where do you think they've been keeping Wendy all these years?
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A monkey typing for the rest of time...
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The 1950s and 1960s were not a natural state of affairs 'pre-neoliberalism'; they were a product of a very strange time period in which every other industrialized state had seen much of its capital stock absolutely obliterated while ours was mostly untouched
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This is such an important point that is rarely mentioned. What's happening right now isn't a decline. It's regression to the mean. And the mean is the time before we were the only industrial power left standing after a devastating global conflict.
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Dude is totally panican. Hank tough!
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My guess is they initially did the calculations correctly but the numbers looked too small and "weak" so they just tried different elasticities until that got the big, "strong" numbers that Dear Leader liked.
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That measles fever will keep 'em warm.
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New Yorkers know a rat when they see one. This asshole is going nowhere.
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I would love for this to be true but RDD is really only valid if the treatment policy at the cutoff is applied to everyone equally. You could argue that this is an ITT estimate but that’s not how RDD works. This effect is small enough to be explained by selection alone.
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You’re fighting the good fight. I am here for it. Bear down!
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This is a very clean and well run establishment. Just don’t drink the tap water.
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I'd like to see someone pepper him with basic epi and method questions. Dude read a few JAMA papers and now he thinks he understands science better than all the people with formal training and years of experience. Let's see if Dr. Brainworm can even define and explain prevalence and incidence.
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I love how quickly this thread just devolves into debate about Occam's razor and Marburg virus. That is certainly something *which has never happened*!
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I still believe in the promise of psych science, and the field is changing for the better, but I am not convinced that we can pre-register our way out of problem that runs much, much deeper than needing to increase the size of our samples.
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I'm talking about psych science, not frontline practice, like clinical or social work. I am also here today thanks to clinical practitioners. I look at the suffering and death over the last 8 years and believe much of it could have been prevented by a viable science of human psychology.
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I used to believe this. The fact that we are even in this situation is evidence to the contrary. Our current approach to theory building and methods can't produce useful knowledge beyond trivial, circumscribed situations. That will continue to be true until we completely rethink our approach.
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This fucking guy needs to get primaried.
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You try exercising with rigor mortis.
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It's so rare to see a natural experiment produce a clear effect like this. "Missing flu season" should become part of the canon in epi and the social sciences.
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One thing you can count on is that Democrats will learn the exact wrong lessons from the last election.
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Absolute legend.
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This almost certainly didn't happen.