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thesmattering.bsky.social
Investor | Co-host of @investingpod.bsky.social | Apple Podcasts: loom.ly/L4nVSVA | Spotify: loom.ly/6Ms-OzM | Everywhere else: loom.ly/Da0IQNA |
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Mansplaining through the ages lol

Three good friends get together for a stroll down the Boulevard… What’s in your glass tonight?

$HIMS feels like a business that's set to get crushed.

#IFeelSeen

Bought some stocks and opened some more options today. I'll talk about it next week.

I think about this quote a lot (from Tribe by Sebastian Junger)

I just realized March/April 2020 are about to start rolling off the FRED 5-year charts.

Monday - Roll back tariffs Tuesday - Reinstate tariffs Wednesday - Roll back tariffs Thursday - Reinstate tariffs Friday - Roll back tariffs Saturday - Golf Sunday - Golf

Moving this from Twitter to Bsky. What are you pouring tonight, my wonderful butterflies?

Moving this from Twitter to Bsky. What are you pouring tonight, my wonderful butterflies?

New Episode! Jason and Jeff answer listener questions on this month's mailbag episode. Topics include ETFs vs. individual stocks, investing strategies for kids and grandkids, and how to handle stocks that have skyrocketed in value. Available wherever you get podcasts.

Whether investing or just being a person in the world, we should ask more questions before we act. 99.9% of the time. 100% of the time on social media.

New Episode! Jason and Jeff welcome Chris Hill to the show to discuss his new podcast, Money Unplugged. Chris discusses the new podcast and why he wanted to have honest conversations about money with people from all professions and walks of life. Available wherever you get podcasts.

I see that a popular chart is making the rounds again. It's worth noting that if you put the two time frames on a single axis, the sensationalism melts away. Could there be a second wave of inflation? Sure. But beware of dual axis charts manipulate to produce spurious correlations.

There were a lot of reasons for the 2008 crisis but a big one was Wall Street had no moral compass I'm convinced more than ever the tech industry now occupies that same role and will be the cause of the next big financial crisis (whenever it happens)

Heads up! Today is our monthly livestream! Check it out on YouTube, starting at 4PM ET! Bring questions, your sense of humor, and your best insult of @marketmusician.bsky.social! youtube.com/@investingun... #livestream @investingpod.bsky.social

Today is a very good day for individual investors with a long time horizon to do absolutely nothing in their investing accounts you weren’t already planning to do a week or a month ago.

Wall Street on tariff policy:

I suppose it’s now possible that the rest of the world will be forced to cut rates while we stop cutting and potentially raise rates? Seems suboptimal

What did you dream about doing or being when you were a kid? Most of us grow out of that dream or have it ground out of us by life. But somewhere inside, that dream is still there. Find it. Feel it. Never let it die. Even while realizing that it's false hope, keep that spark of hope going forever.

ICYMI… New episode dropped Wednesday. What investing myths have you heard? What are the wrong lessons investors learn? Available wherever you get podcasts.

Hire a clown, get a circus.

Getting paid to take on the “risk” of buying shares of a great business at a possible premium to the market price in the future. This is one of the great ways to use options.

$SOFI reported pretty solid results and the stock fell. My best guess is earnings guidance and maybe some “sell the news” on a strong run for the stock in the past six months. Structurally I think SoFi is in the best shape it’s ever been and will have a better ‘25 than it guided for.

Here’s a surprising stat. ASML had a solid 2024 but actually sold fewer of its leading edge EUV machines than in 2023. And it only delivered the first High NA versions in the fourth quarter. The breadth of its lithography machines across the semi industry is pretty incredible.

I’m holding out for “dazed, blinded owl crashes into tree” as my photo of the year vote.

Seeing non-AI capex tech rally again leads me to conclude that aggregate bets on tech stocks has not gone down this week, we just shifted where the bets are being made.

Stocks are up cause of Jevons Paradox. As soon as they went down in price, everyone could afford to buy more of them.

I have no idea how disruptive DeepSeek/cheap, good AI will be. But I do know my financial goals, and don't need to capture all the upside of big-tech AI to reach them So I diversify into businesses where I see the risks and understand the moats Opportunity is what you see; risk is what you don't

"Doing something well, that is hard, opened another door for me." - Fund manager and value investor John Rotonti Find our conversation with John wherever you get podcasts, and also at youtube.com/@investingun... #stocks #podcast #investing @investingpod.bsky.social @marketmusician.bsky.social

Big uptick in multi-fam starts in the South — maybe offsetting hurricane delays in Oct/Nov?