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ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: [email protected]. For more: https://linktr.ee/understandingwar
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NEW: Russia baselessly accused Ukraine of failing to conduct a prisoner of war (POW) exchange and to repatriate the bodies of killed in action (KIA) soldiers on June 6. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar060725

submitted 43 minutes ago • 2 comments

NEW | China-Taiwan Weekly Update, June 6, 2025 The China Coast Guard (CCG) conducted four incursions into Kinmen’s restricted waters in May 2025, continuing PRC efforts to normalize such incursions. isw.pub/ChinaTaiwan0... Other Key Takeaways 🧵⬇️(1/6)

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

NEW: A senior Ukrainian official reported that the Russian military intends to seize half of Ukraine by the end of 2026. Russia is highly unlikely to make such large advances in that narrow time frame given its current offensive capabilities & assuming aid to Ukraine continues. isw.pub/UkrWar060625

submitted 21 hours ago • 11 comments

NEW: A senior Ukrainian official reported that the Russian military intends to seize half of Ukraine by the end of 2026. Russia is highly unlikely to make such large advances in that narrow time frame given its current offensive capabilities & assuming aid to Ukraine continues. isw.pub/UkrWar060625

submitted 21 hours ago • 11 comments

NEW | Iran is continuing to cooperate with China to replenish its solid-fuel ballistic missile stockpile after Israel destroyed Iranian solid-fuel production sites in October 2024. (1/7) www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

ISW is hiring a Communications & Publishing Associate! Support the External Relations Team in the preparation and dissemination of research and analysis across external channels & the measurement and evaluation of ISW's audience impact and engagement metrics to inform communications strategy. 1/2

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

NEW: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) may be overestimating Russian recruitment rates, likely in an effort to appease the Kremlin, portray Russia's military as a formidable force, and incentivize recruitment. isw.pub/ForceGen060625 More Key Takeaways ⬇️🧵(1/7)

submitted 1 day ago • 3 comments

NEW | China-Taiwan Weekly Update, June 6, 2025 The China Coast Guard (CCG) conducted four incursions into Kinmen’s restricted waters in May 2025, continuing PRC efforts to normalize such incursions. isw.pub/ChinaTaiwan0... Other Key Takeaways 🧵⬇️(1/6)

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

NEW: Russian forces are reportedly sustaining an average of 1,140 casualties per day and suffering disproportionately high personnel casualties for marginal, grinding territorial gains. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar060525

submitted 1 day ago • 13 comments

NEW: Russian forces are reportedly sustaining an average of 1,140 casualties per day and suffering disproportionately high personnel casualties for marginal, grinding territorial gains. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar060525

submitted 1 day ago • 13 comments

NEW | Russia continues to position itself as a mediator in the US-Iran nuclear negotiations. Russia’s mediation of the US-Iran talks would be very unlikely to secure US interests given Russia’s alignment with Iran. ➡️ www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira... (1/6)

submitted 2 days ago • 5 comments

NEW: The Kremlin is fixating on recent train derailments in Russia in order to further long-standing Kremlin narratives claiming that Ukraine is an illegitimate negotiating partner that is uninterested in peace... Latest: isw.pub/UkrWar060425 More 🧵⬇️(1/5)

submitted 2 days ago • 8 comments

MORE: Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei categorically rejected the US nuclear proposal because the proposal would require Iran to eventually halt all uranium enrichment on Iranian soil. Iran’s cont'd rejection of the US demand for zero uranium enrichment could cause the negotiations to collapse.

submitted 2 days ago • 3 comments

NEW: Russian occupation officials continue to articulate plans for the forced removal and deportation of Ukrainian children over the course of Summer 2025. Russian federal-level youth programs are indoctrinating and militarizing Ukrainian children. isw.pub/OccupationUpdate060425

submitted 3 days ago • 5 comments

🧵: Seven Key Takeaways from ISW's Special Report 1. Technological breakthroughs in drone warfare require the development and integration of both AI and ML capabilities. Russia and Ukraine have been increasingly focusing on developing drones with machine vision capabilities since at least mid-2023.

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

NEW: Kremlin officials publicly acknowledged that Russia seeks the “complete destruction” of Ukraine, indicating Moscow’s disinterest in good faith peace negotiations & a near-term resolution to the war. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 3, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar060325 More Key Takeaways🔽

submitted 3 days ago • 9 comments