tomdewaal.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Since 2022 Central and Eastern Europe has undergone a fundamental shift away from reliance on Russian gas. Will it last? Join @maxhess.bsky.social‬, Sergey Vakulenko and me tomorrow for a Carnegie Europe webinar to discuss these issues. It will be insightful! carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

www.foreignaffairs.com/azerbaijan/p... Zaur's piece on Azerbaijan is excellent, authoritative, comprehensive and asks the hard questions about the country's future @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Please read, share and repost this brave piece of journalism by Will Neal @willneal.bsky.social‬ about Georgia and the dealings and Russia connections of London-based Hunnewell Partners which owns Imedi TV amongst other assets, is a close partner of Georgian Dream. bylinetimes.com/2025/03/31/m...

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

As the South Caucasus undergoes a strategic realignment, the EU & Turkey have an opportunity to recalibrate their engagement. Converging interests might foster cooperation if long-standing assumptions are set aside, writes @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

💡Registration is open for the 2025 Carnegie Endowment James C. Gaither Junior Fellows Conference, The Next Generation of Foreign Policy. 📅June 11, 11am-5pm EDT, in-person. Open exclusively to students and young professionals. Learn more and register here: carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

Another biographical gem from Cavid

submitted 23 days ago • 0 comments

🎧 | Turkey & Armenia are divided by decades of unresolved tensions & a closed border. In a new episode of #EuropeInsideOut, @rmomtaz.bsky.social, @tomdewaal.bsky.social, & Garo Paylan discuss whether the countries can normalize relations. To listen: europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/can...

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

It's the move that benefits (almost) everyone but still does not happen... Who better to discuss the search for Armenia-Turkey normalization with than Garo Paylan? I enjoyed our discussion with @rmomtaz.bsky.social for the Carnegie Europe podcast europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/can...

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

Yesterday we published our investigation into torture & death of Ukrainian journalist Viktoriia Roshchyna. Now, what I & several Guardian colleagues have been working on for past few months: inside one of Russia's worst torture prisons for Ukrainians www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...

submitted 38 days ago • 6 comments

Today, researcher & @charlesuni.cuni.cz PhD candidate Bahruz Samadov is spending 30th birthday behind bars in Azerbaijan, where critical scholarly work is criminalized, labeled as treason. There shld be more academic voices demanding Bahruz's freedom. #FreeBahruz www.psapopulism.org/blog/news/fr...

submitted 39 days ago • 1 comment

President Trump’s apparent belief that Ukraine will inevitably lose its war against Russia if it doesn’t accept a peace deal may not be in line with the battlefield reality. @alexgabuev.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social explain for the @ceip-politika.bsky.social podcast:

submitted 44 days ago • 0 comments

Central and Eastern Europe have made a fundamental transition from reliance on Russian gas. Even if there is a halt to the war in Ukraine, there is no going back. Our latest analysis from Carnegie by ‪@maxhess.bsky.social‬ carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

submitted 46 days ago • 0 comments

So much going on in the world that this commentary didn't get enough attention @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social on the importance of seizing the moment for an Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal "Without peace, Baku risks mistaking short-term leverage for lasting influence." carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

submitted 64 days ago • 0 comments

Exclusive: Trump Administration Denies Parole to Harvard Scientist From Russia, Citing Threat to US National Security www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

submitted 65 days ago • 0 comments

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202... For sure protesters in Georgia, Hungary and Serbia are watching and deriving inspiration from each other

submitted 65 days ago • 0 comments

European shipping, the Red Sea, the Houthis, Trump and tariffs all linked here--spotted by someone I spoke to recently. The head of CMA, France’s biggest shipping farm, Rodolphe Saadé, got a WH meeting with Trump on March 6, pledged $20bln for shipbuilding in the US. www.ft.com/content/0a9a...

submitted 65 days ago • 1 comment

Great story anyway who follows Georgia 🇬🇪 should read, on the power and assets accumulated by one UK company - and their ties to Abramovich.

submitted 66 days ago • 0 comments

Podcast on Armenia and Azerbaijan. Good questions from Wilberforce Society in Cambridge! open.spotify.com/episode/4rBf...

submitted 71 days ago • 0 comments

Russia is testing the US. It's already exporting agricultural goods – “far more important for Moscow to get restrictions lifted on access to Western financial infrastructure: insurance, logistics, and payment systems.” Great analysis by Alexandra Prokopenko. carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

submitted 71 days ago • 0 comments

Russia wading in again on the "Zangezur Corridor"/Syunik transit route across Armenia to Azerbaijan. Zakharova says the ARM-AZ-RUS working group has to be revived, talks of the "destructive influence of the West." A sign that Moscow is worried about losing leverage here to EU tass.ru/ekonomika/23...

submitted 71 days ago • 0 comments

www.rferl.org/a/rferl-usag... A very powerful personal message from Rikard Jozwiak on the importance of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty @rferl.org.web.brid.gy Its Armenian, Azeri and Georgian services have been beacons of free media in the region

submitted 73 days ago • 0 comments

Exactly. "Samadov’s appeal to brotherhood among the previously warring nations would appear to line up perfectly with the Armenian-Azerbaijani Zeitenwende. Why, then, has an outspoken peace advocate been arrested just as peace appears to be within reach?" Freedom for Bahruz!

submitted 74 days ago • 0 comments

U.S.-Russia talks are set for today, but Russia envoy Steve Witkoff spent the weekend making inflammatory comments about Ukraine. Do his remarks reflect the reality of the war? @michaelkofman.bsky.social set the record straight. See his work quoted in @forbes.com: www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

submitted 75 days ago • 1 comment

Azerbaijan and Turkey, very close allies, are in a rare public dispute after Turkey and Armenia agreed to temporarily open their border for Armenian humanitarian aid shipments to Syria.

submitted 75 days ago • 1 comment

Lots of good food for thought in @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social 's deep essay here on the reasons for Azerbaijan's success in the conflict with Armenia in recent years--and the reasons why it is important for Baku to cut a deal. gfsis.org/wp-content/u...

submitted 78 days ago • 2 comments

An update on the war following a recent trip. The situation has improved compared with Fall 2024. Russian offensive momentum slowed significantly over the winter, though it is premature to claim that the front has stabilized, especially following AFU withdrawal in Kursk. /1

submitted 78 days ago • 12 comments

One more case in what's becoming an awful trend

submitted 79 days ago • 1 comment

This is the way Georgian Dream eventually fails, through incompetence, hubris and financial mismanagement.

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

My piece on the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace agreement -- a big step forward but a long way to go carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

submitted 81 days ago • 1 comment

1 A really positive step forward in Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks… but we shouldn’t expect a signing ceremony and peace in our time soon. Some inaccurate reporting out there, this piece ooks to me objective and accurate oc-media.org/armenia-and-...

submitted 86 days ago • 1 comment

"Eurasia is Friends with Oceania!" www.nytimes.com/2025/03/05/w...

submitted 92 days ago • 1 comment

I was delighted to meet Fedir Serdiuk from Odesa in London this week. He's ones of those young Ukrainians who inspire you with their capacity for self-mobilization, grassroots organization and invention. His NGO has massively improved the the country's poor battlefield medical procedures.

submitted 92 days ago • 1 comment

My conversation yesterday at the MSC with Georgian president Salome Zourabishvili Continued repression, political deadlock, a worsening international environment- what is the strategy to deal with all this? www.youtube.com/live/7IWlrOj...

submitted 112 days ago • 0 comments

Well done, Hans

submitted 112 days ago • 0 comments

Just arrived in Munich. Looking forward very much to moderating this important conversation on 🇬🇪later with President @Zourabichvili_S securityconference.org/en/msc-2025/...

submitted 113 days ago • 2 comments

In a new episode of #EuropeInsideOut, @rmomtaz.bsky.social, @dimitarbechev.bsky.social, & @tomdewaal.bsky.social discuss how the EU can respond to Russia's destabilizing actions in Black Sea littoral states & advance its enlargement agenda. Listen 🎧 europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/can...

submitted 136 days ago • 0 comments