vinceagard.com - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

I don't how those of us in the meteorology field can be any more clear: This would be catastrophic if it comes to pass. The private sector simply CAN NOT do what NOAA and the National Weather Service do for our country every day. Forecasting would suffer and all of us would suffer for this.

submitted 9 days ago • 1 comment

I have written a short statement responding to mass firings today of #NOAA / National Weather Service (#NWS) staff (which were concentrated among recent hires as well as highly experienced staff who had recently been promoted). Please see below screenshot & below for full text.

submitted 13 days ago • 64 comments

#Vince is spinning out in the middle of the Indian Ocean sporting a very nice clear eye as it peaks near Category 5 strength. Nice eye candy to watch before it recurves well away from any land

submitted 34 days ago • 1 comment

In 2004, it took the world a year to add a gigawatt of solar power — now it takes a day

submitted 33 days ago • 23 comments

...HAIL WATCH IN EFFECT... * WHAT...Hail. * WHERE...Everywhere #Commanders fans are found. * WHEN...3 p.m. onward. * IMPACTS...Hail. A hail watch means conditions are favorable for HAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... #RaiseHail && $$

submitted 45 days ago • 24 comments

Did you know? The New Orleans convention center was the original inspiration for that Saudi "Line" city #AMS2025

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

Here's my visual explanation of why we have not yet reached 1.5°C even though 2024 was likely warmer than 1.5°C. 2024 shows us how close we are, but the underlying warming is still under 1.5°C.

submitted 61 days ago • 19 comments

Overlaid street names on top of this stunning satellite image of the Eaton Fire that shows the heartbreaking devastation block after block in Altadena.

submitted 63 days ago • 0 comments

Electricity generation in Europe from January 2015 to December 2024. The chart shows a 1-year rolling average: in the last year 70% of the generated electricity was low-carbon (it was 60% 8 years ago).

submitted 63 days ago • 0 comments

Radar and infrared heat signature from the Palisades Fire are indicative of continued high intensity of flames. Unfortunately, it looks like a new wildfire has started near Altadena. Winds will worsen overnight. Awful awful awful scenarios unfolding.

submitted 64 days ago • 3 comments

Once any space becomes less than 40% male, (straight) men tend to cede it entirely while shouting about how it “went woke”. Fascinating read:

submitted 70 days ago • 179 comments

Interesting evolution of forecasted North American cold air outbreak over the next two weeks- is it or is it not a “#polarvortex” event? (1/9) 🧵

submitted 72 days ago • 4 comments

A lot of attention has been devoted to cases where sudden stratospheric warmings/weak polar vortex events don't couple to the troposphere. But what about the opposite? This is a really interesting and relatively rare case of a strong mid-strat vortex atop a chunky negative NAO.

submitted 72 days ago • 2 comments

Just had a rare tornado warning for San Francisco! Looks like this is the first ever tornado warning for San Francisco County since at least the 1980s (as far back as the records go I could find!) #cawx

submitted 88 days ago • 2 comments

With an amplified Alaskan Ridge regime having been present over North America (peaking at close to 2 sigma on 2 Dec) and bringing early season cold-air outbreaks, this forthcoming downstream wind extreme resembles the first 'pathway' in @jriboldi.bsky.social et al. 2023 doi.org/10.1029/2022...

submitted 97 days ago • 1 comment

ECMWF's migration to the "new Climate Data Store" has been an abject failure, taking one of the most popular data stores in the history of atmospheric science offline for several hours on several days/month since its late September launch (after just 3.5 weeks of parallel testing!)

submitted 106 days ago • 2 comments

Great work here - but of course, the current generation of AI/ML-NWP models wasn't necessarily explicitly designed for DA. Significant opportunities...

submitted 108 days ago • 1 comment

@lovejoolz.bsky.social loving the Mark Trail NOAA arc! Fyi though, you keep drawing the hurricane symbol backwards 😅

submitted 111 days ago • 1 comment

Fully-funded PhD at U. St Andrews: Connecting warming patterns to clouds – the role of atmospheric circulation Join the Climate Dynamics Lab in beautiful St Andrews! Please RP and get in touch for further info. Apply here: www.st-andrews.ac.uk/study/postgr... Deadline: 24 Jan 2025

submitted 112 days ago • 0 comments

today i learned from that ny mag future of media spread that the exec ed of the washington post subscribes to roger pielke jr's substack

submitted 142 days ago • 4 comments

Grocery shopping, but written like a proposal: "We will use a novel note-taking system to ensure key supply gaps are filled, with restocking achieved through sustainable produce. This aligns with the strategic vision for the year ahead (published on 1 January) and is within the proposed budget."

submitted 142 days ago • 2 comments

Two periods of record-breaking tropical cyclone activity, each one marked by historic category 5 hurricanes. In between, a record-breaking dearth of tropical activity. The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season sure threw us a curveball.

submitted 146 days ago • 4 comments

We use 30 year averages to show climatology (average weather conditions). During the 20th century the UK climatology followed a path around a confined box. With #globalwarming and #climatechange they have escaped out the box. This #dataviz shows UK rainfall and temperature.

submitted 146 days ago • 17 comments

Looking over the Potomac River from the Chain Bridge in Washington D.C.

submitted 153 days ago • 1 comment

Wednesday 9 pm: Hurricane Milton’s eye passed directly over the Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport:

submitted 154 days ago • 0 comments

Horrifying: the 1,200 inmates at Manatee County Jail are not being evacuated before Hurricane Milton. “When my son was sentenced, he was not given a death sentence." floridapolitics.com/archives/700...

submitted 154 days ago • 17 comments

And with this morning's announcement, the fraction of women among Physics Nobel Laureates drops from 2.23% to 2.21%

submitted 155 days ago • 7 comments

Minimal tropical storm to category 5 hurricane in less than 48 hours. 60 kt of intensification in 12 hours alongside a 63-mb drop in pressure. Milton is in the top 10 for the Atlantic record spanning 1851-2023.

submitted 156 days ago • 3 comments

Hurricane Milton has a very compact core with hurricane-force winds only extending ~25 miles from the center. Compact storms can undergo extreme intensification, like Milton has, but can subsequently weaken rapidly, particularly right after RI (Finocchio and Rios-Berrios 2021). (1/)

submitted 156 days ago • 3 comments

What a difference 30 miles can make. Left: Saturday night NHC track. 10+ft surge into Tampa Bay. Right: Sunday night NHC track. No surge into Tampa Bay. Illustrates how much of a squeaker this is. Pins and needles. Note: Track north of Tampa Bay still very much possible.

submitted 157 days ago • 2 comments

New rapid attribution by Mike Wehner and colleagues at LBL shows that climate change increased Hurricane Helene's rainfall by up to 50% in some parts of Georgia and the Carolinas, and made the event up to 20x more likely. Read: drive.google.com/file/d/14oq6...

submitted 162 days ago • 6 comments

Hey everyone @darothen.bsky.social is here, give him a follow! #wxsky

submitted 166 days ago • 1 comment

We have a very serious disaster unfolding in the Southern Appalachians right now. Multiple locations breaking record river crests by several feet. The Swannanoa River at Biltmore broke a record from 1791. Uncharted territory.

submitted 166 days ago • 3 comments

After years and years of media reports that coal is having a comeback in the UK the last coal plant will go offline in just 2 weeks. Coal in the UK is no more. Credit for graph to @ketanjoshi.co

submitted 177 days ago • 24 comments

THIS IS A HUGE ACHIEVEMENT: The EU now generates more electricity from wind and solar than from fossil fuels. Graph from Nat Bullard and data from Ember.

submitted 184 days ago • 22 comments

For the record, the simple solution to increased demand for power when demand for air conditioning is high is... solar panels. The world has plenty of solar panels, and they are damn good at running aircon to cool places down in the daytime. This is my house electricity so far today.

submitted 191 days ago • 7 comments

Pretty cool how the Colorado football players are so enthusiastic about #S2S forecasting. They must have been hanging out with the folks up the road at NCAR

submitted 195 days ago • 0 comments

The most extreme precipitation in the Northeast is seeing the fastest growth. Days with more than 5 inches rose 103%, @eroston.bsky.social writes for @bloomberg.com: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

submitted 197 days ago • 0 comments