Decent chance Musk is one of them: it would be just like him to bet a bunch of (somebody's?) money on how great he thinks he'll be at influencing an election.
Losing 10s of millions because nobody will tell him how bad he is at it
Finding out that poly market is owned by Peter thiel and that you can’t just go and bet on th me site as an American really leaves a lot of factors on who’s betting and if they are betting with thought or emotion.
It's a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of world events. Participants can deposit USDC cryptocurrency through the Polygon network & trade shares that represent the likelihood of specific outcomes occurring in the future.
Imagine thinking a gambling site is indicative of how an election will go 💀💀like get real if you lose money cuz you thought trump would win cuz the polymarket odds said so then you deserve to have lost that money
Unfortunately, the 4 people spending the money to drive betting odds in favor of Trump are likely so rich that they would not miss the amount of money spent if they lost in between the sofa cushions. [Insert JD Vance joke here].
I don’t really understand betting, but are they not just duping MAGA who will see it and bet on Trump thinking he’s definitely gonna win? Throwing them under the bus cause they’ll lose their money like with the DJT stock?
I don't know much about prediction markets. How much daily trading is there on them? Specifically, how much would it cost to artificially move them to create a phony narrative? I'm guessing it's low enough that someone like Elon Musk or Peter Thiel wouldn't even notice their losses.
Polymarket limits people to $850 on each bet, but memestock guys can move markets in amazing ways when they set their minds to it. It's not one or two people dumping millions into it, it's a bunch of people voting in unison. It's very unlikely to be organic, most likely to be coordinated.
First - public polls are shit, wrong in 75% of elections. Second - this the same site that earned genius status because they gave DonOld a 32% chance in 2016. #Kamala2024
People wildly overestimate the number of US women who are eager to be state-owned breeding slaves. A person with no bodily autonomy is a slave by definition. It doesn’t matter if they are owned by the new White Christian Taliban gov’t, or a person. Whoever controls your body is your owner.
They’re about to push the odds to the point where I’m going to put a fair amount of capital in. The thing about Trump supporters is they can’t distinguish between what is happening and what they want to happen.
The worst people in the world don't care. This is chicken feed to them that they're using to try & influence the narrative. If the media would just ignore this bs, it would fail to land.
The pretense of the betting market being accurate is that people are using their own money. The truth is, there are enough billionaires to skew the spread with money that is effectively meaningless to them.
I trust him more than any other "pundit" out there. He's been successful at this for 40 years. The only time he was wrong was 2000, and even that is disputable.
In 2000 he was right. What a shit show that was the Brook Brothers riot thanks to Roger Stone and then the Supreme Court handed it to Bush. Think how different the world would be today if Al Gore had been President.
I honestly think the media is making it out to be more of a toss-up than it actually is. Not to say it won't be close, but nothing significant has happened to suggest that Trump has regained any momentum in the last month. That alone is suspicious.
You’re so welcome. The video is nice because he breaks down the fact that these polls are pretty worthless. I like how he has been able to use historical data to determine this.
Yes, and look at all the Bs polls just there to help someone prove their point. Here is one of the pollsters that was being bandied about earlier in the week to prove that Trump was turning things around.
They did this in 2022 as well to suggest that a red wave was imminent. We all have to remember that Republicans haven't had a good election since 2016. And the big reason for that is Trump.
Once everybody dumps thump he wants his audience. A "Fox News" strategy that goes beyond. He understands the Thump vote numbers and he figures left behind vacancy needs to be filled. He wants access to every piece of US China, Russia and other countries right wing leaders with this also.
Wasn’t he bought by a republican? Hasn’t that been proven that he’s been bought and paid for by the Republicans? He also sold his soul to the Republicans a.k.a. GQP hate cult.
Gambling isn’t political. It’s about making money. Nate takes Thiel’s money either way, and following Thiel’s propaganda program drives up her odds. He secretly bets on her, makes more money.
And that is one of the reasons why I never ever believed in polls or pollsters or what the media says about the polls or what the journalist says about the polls, because they tell you what they wanna tell you
When Trump contests the results, and these chuds lose their money, do you think they try and file suit against Polymarket? Back door their way into challenging the election results in court?
I feel like all these polls are designed solely to convince Trump voters that his win is inevitable. That way, if Harris wins, they’ll all be convinced that she must have cheated.
“But the polls showed that Trump was so far ahead!”
It's hilarious to me that the only way to bet on polymath is with crypto, a cesspool of biased self-selection if there ever was one, and people are citing it like it has any accuracy at all.
Comments
Losing 10s of millions because nobody will tell him how bad he is at it
https://www.wsj.com/finance/betting-election-pro-trump-ad74aa71
Anyway, what are people doing for dinner? Not sure if I want to go out.
This is probably very accurate when swapping colors
The con is huge!
It’s betting yall, smh.
You can only bet by buying some shitcoin
This entire site exists to give value to some cryptoscam
It's a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of world events. Participants can deposit USDC cryptocurrency through the Polygon network & trade shares that represent the likelihood of specific outcomes occurring in the future.
So if K wins, they can simply say "T wins!" and pay themselves out
She wants to get rid of normal vehicles how we supposed to travel
But keep this stuff on twitter
Look who’s here 🤗
I figure it was around the50s when they d
Found out their constituents were both very gullible and also very dumb
But he also probably knows Harris will win.
Gambling isn’t political. It’s about making money. Nate takes Thiel’s money either way, and following Thiel’s propaganda program drives up her odds. He secretly bets on her, makes more money.
“But the polls showed that Trump was so far ahead!”
Rigged.
Complete bullshit.. and likely Musk-funded operation.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/betting-election-pro-trump-ad74aa71?