just got sent this article. it was written in 2010 www.salon.com/2010/12/06/a... - ThreadSky

haruharaharuko.bsky.social•6 days ago

Whatever happened to the doomsday clock

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katie.bzky.team•6 days ago

i got sent that article too but you didn't see me posting it

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

why not? this one had a funny headline

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katie.bzky.team•6 days ago

i was still in bed

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

snooze you loose

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katie.bzky.team•6 days ago

i'm sick bitch

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midfi.bsky.social•6 days ago

feel better soon

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awfullycrispy.bsky.social•6 days ago

But I'm sicker

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

katie would it make you feel better if i let you post the next one?

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blakelikesspiders.bsky.social•6 days ago

one can hope.

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pyrrhongobbler.bsky.social•6 days ago

This paragraph hit a little too close to home

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fasscass.bsky.social•6 days ago

empires last 250 years....

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astill73.bsky.social•3 days ago

📌

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aracelerii.bsky.social•6 days ago

Reading through this, I'd say we ended up with a mix of "Economic Decline" and "Military Misadventure"

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garbagewitchy.bsky.social•5 days ago

Oh lmao we're only on track for the absolute worst case scenario. Wonderful. Incredible.

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stablestrategys.bsky.social•3 days ago

AHHHHHHHHHHH

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sl33peragent.bsky.social•5 days ago

basically every prediction this article makes was laughably incorrect but the author did not account for the acute dangers of the Woke Mind Virus 😔

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seetor.bsky.social•6 days ago

ok the apparently accurate year is crazy but some of these predictions are insanely naive and dumb.

"[In 2020] Unable to pay for swelling deficits by selling now-devalued Treasury notes abroad, Washington is finally forced to slash its bloated military budget"

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

this happened you must have just been asleep that day don't look it up tho

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seetor.bsky.social•6 days ago

oh shit that's crazy I've been saying they should do this for years I must have looked dumb

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goufymf.bsky.social•6 days ago

I like the emphasis on space nukes

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adamsith.bsky.social•3 days ago

Trump cutting off skilled immigration for PhDs (Elmo will still get his wage slave code monkeys) will be the Coup de grâce for American exceptionalism.

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adamsith.bsky.social•3 days ago

But of course Trump is doing many other things to hasten the doom

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nickmas.bsky.social•6 days ago

Wow. The ending part though. Yikes.

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

yeah it's not perfect but still

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nickmas.bsky.social•6 days ago

No. I mean it sounds so fucking plausible right now.

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

oh i thought you meant the part about britian's relative success in protecting their interests, which i don't think aged super well

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shuchancellor.online•6 days ago

"success" lol

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

my point

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woost0.bsky.social•6 days ago

article says china will have 35 gps satellites by 2020. They have 56, nearly double the US 31

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ryanhofmann10.bsky.social•5 days ago

Articles and books like these always age poorly. To summarize one of the ideas, they expected WW3 in the next 15 years. We are fantabulously closer, but it is not realistic to say it happens in 15 years. Kek.

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coldwarhist.bsky.social•6 days ago

Oops didn't have "destroyed self because woke" on their radars

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pazuzuzu.bsky.social•6 days ago

"domestic divisions widen into violent clashes and divisive debates, often over remarkably irrelevant issues."

Under economic collapse - so basically "destroyed self because of woke"

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pazuzuzu.bsky.social•5 days ago

I don't mean to imply that minority issues are unimportant, but the argument the author is making is that an economic decline will lead people to increasingly vitriolic conflict over issues not relevant to the economy, which is my perspective as well.

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john-m-ball.bsky.social•6 days ago

Wow, based on the ads I got, 7-11 *really* wants to be the face of the end of the American Century.

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javahater.bsky.social•5 days ago

He’s a historian that still writes today his most recent article was in January. Very based https://www.thenation.com/article/economy/auto-industry-electric-vehicles-trump/

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bearinthecity.bsky.social•6 days ago

I can't believe he didn't predict tech oligarchy

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guinevere666.bsky.social•5 days ago

omg i fucking remember reading this when it came out

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ubergreen.bsky.social•6 days ago

honestly his version of wwiii is like the least destructive way that could go so bring it on i guess

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diahane.bsky.social•6 days ago

This article is proof that we know how to make predictions on complex political and economic systems, it’s just that the mainstream is geared towards ideologic affirmation in favour of the status quo—that’s why it always seems like nobody ever foresaw economic crises: they’re paid to deny it

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sarsion.net•6 days ago

had to laugh that the first thing i saw scrolling down this article was an advert for IQ scores and thought for a moment that was the prediction.

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shakewt.bsky.social•6 days ago

went to check how it was nowadays and holy fuck lmao
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IP.PAT.RESD?most_recent_value_desc=true

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squillium.bsky.social•6 days ago

Wild

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yooberz.postes.club•6 days ago

Riding a political tide of disillusionment and despair a far-right patriot captures the presidency with thundering rhetoric, demanding respect for American authority and threatening military retaliation or economic reprisal. The world pays next to no attention as the American Century ends in silence

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yooberz.postes.club•6 days ago

Ah, well, nevertheless

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sonofcoul.bsky.social•6 days ago

Bro cooked here

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heybruce.bsky.social•6 days ago

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nuke.blue•6 days ago

YES I just screenshotted that. Absolute prescience. Someone's gotta lay off the spice.

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opaisaarder.bsky.social•6 days ago

who gave bro a crystal ball‼️‼️‼️‼️

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mrobinson.bsky.social•6 days ago

Saw this and was like... dude, how did you just describe the current situation FIFTEEN YEARS AGO?!

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vanessahauf.bsky.social•6 days ago

📌

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jtp.bsky.social•6 days ago

if i was this guy i'd be so smug rn

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popeofchilitown.bsky.social•6 days ago

Fitting that of the four scenarios he outlined, the most boring one is the one that most closely matches our current state (election of a far-right demagogue who lashes out as the rest of the world ignores/moves on from America).

We don’t even get any of the cool Tom Clancy plots from the article

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shuchancellor.online•6 days ago

yeah for good reason, he's doing actual research instead of huffing farts, instead of those harvard losers

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bemo626.bsky.social•6 days ago

here's a recent article of his

https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/imperial-decline-china-france-russia/

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crocwearer.bsky.social•5 days ago

Damn lol

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elfstrogen.bsky.social•5 days ago

Damn this is a good one

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quiet-caller.bsky.social•5 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/quiet-caller.bsky.social/post/3lbpswvj35e2j

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ryedog.bsky.social•6 days ago

Ah sweet, a four pronged doom prophecy where a little bit from each path has already come true! Wonderfullllll

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willisfinale.bsky.social•6 days ago

The ‘Trash Dick Spite Man Nuclear Incident’ part was particularly prescient

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wanderlpnw.bsky.social•6 days ago

He was wrong about the reasons. He blamed economic collapse and the rise of China while it was mostly economic inequality and the inability of government to adapt to internal threats.

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stargonewrong.gay•6 days ago

Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed
and the ceremony of innocence, drowned

four random American bank stocks:

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mnorac.bsky.social•6 days ago

"My house didn't burn down because of the lit cigarette I dropped, it was because of the curtains catching fire"

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xdresstera.bsky.social•6 days ago

Well it became self fulfilling prophecy in a sense because I always wondered why China became such a huge political target and it was mostly economic reasons but it just seemed odd they treated them as some sort of all encompassing boogeyman. They focused so much on the fear of a power shift that--

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xdresstera.bsky.social•6 days ago

they didn't maintain the power in place here or promoted ideas that in theory would strengthen an economy but in practice are stupid baby brain ideas about how economics and people actually work. In a sense, China and their economic might really is the catalyst.

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goose.ski•6 days ago

us protectionist measures that will collapse the economy are directly because of the rise of china. china isn’t directly responsible or at fault but the causal relationship does exist

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goose.ski•6 days ago

dumbest thing always happens btw

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wanderlpnw.bsky.social•6 days ago

I don't think the tariffs will hurt the economy too bad. They didn't last time. The problem was continuing to shift production to Asia. The Biden admin finally got it, but far too late. Wages never matched inflation even though billionaires were banking keeping GDP high.

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redundead.bsky.social•5 days ago

We gotta stop these prophets from being right all the time!

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squiddy-posts.bsky.social•6 days ago

feels wildly optimistic when they posit that the US would cut costs by downsizing the military rather than, y'know, all the important domestic infrastructure. we truly are living in the dumbest possible timeline.

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smellienoire.bsky.social•6 days ago

some absolute heaters in here

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goufymf.bsky.social•6 days ago

Nah, this article focuses way too much on space nukes.

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expandingflan.bsky.social•6 days ago

hmm

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isntbel.bsky.social•6 days ago

“22 year trajectory from 2003-2025” no wonder i feel fucking insane all the time (i was born in 2002)

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isntbel.bsky.social•6 days ago

(i mean i knew being born after 9/11 meant it was a different world than like, my parents for instance had, but my lifespan lining up exactly with what i’m now sure is the collapse of an empire is crazy work)

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frailoldwoman.bsky.social•6 days ago

The China shit lmao

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rgdvns.bsky.social•6 days ago

It's a fun piece of speculative fiction but that's kind of all it is? Most of the accurate predictions, while logical based on historical trajectory, are still very vague. The specific scenarios on the other hand read like geopolitical fanfic. 🤷‍♀️

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