The *big* question in coming hours: Do the BSW & FDP reach the 5% threshold nationally? If they do, they get dozens of seats. If they don't, 0 seats.
At stake is what the governing coalition will be: whether a CDU-SPD 'grand coalition' has enough seats alone, or ends up needing a 3rd partner.
At stake is what the governing coalition will be: whether a CDU-SPD 'grand coalition' has enough seats alone, or ends up needing a 3rd partner.
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On the left, the projected seats if the FDP & BSW reach 5%. On the right, if they don't cross it.
You can see how the question of their seats affects the entire math: SPD + CDU would need a third partner (Greens? FDP?)
I watched so many stabbings in the lead up to this election. All all coincidentally by asylum seekers.
From an outsider, it felt planned. To scare you guys into voting right. How did it feel there?
Mathematically possible. But politically, no expectation of this. CDU has shifted right over last decade, & who knows in future, but very unlikely this year.
Also it is really easy to vote. But ID is compulsory, and voting places are everywhere, opening about a month before the final election day.
Just 16% of the conservative CDU/CSU voters (marked as “Union”) say yes. Obviously a lot less for left voters.
(Again h/t @mathieugallard.bsky.social)
pollster: "who did you vote for?"
voter: "oh, I voted for Party X"
pollster: "do you think it would be good for Party X to be in the government?"
voter: [pause to contemplate silly question, followed by sarcastic] "no"
Also says his absolute priority will be to build up European security, to be less dependent on the US.