worry that we're maybe in danger of going too far down the copium road of "well if there's inflation the incumbent will lose, look at all these other countries", the state of the economy definitely didn't help the Tories in the UK this summer but also, crucially: they had not been good at governing
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If true, it seems more just like an unfocussed desire for change, now, to ANYTHING other than the status quo
I haven't seen much talk on how the FTC prosecutions of big tech presumably played into how much support the Dems got from that sector...
Every state has a different story.
The theme is anger though. Rejection. That’s common.
It hypothesises that any bad event is blamed on the government. They illustrate this by showing that incumbents did badly in one election in NE USA coastal states after an unusually high number of shark attacks...
I mean it sucks lol but fascinating
Trump is more explainable in reversion to deep cultural norms that simple economics
I don’t think that went down particularly well.
Caudillo is gonna Caudillo
I think the big advantage that candidates who exists outside the mainstream have is they knock mainstream candidates off their core message 1/2
The more the promised prosperity of living in these societies isn't manifesting the more people want upheaval until they see benefit.
But it was obvs inflation and being the incumbent that did it
I really hope if the Comms were better it may have changed but maybe people were happy to believe lies
It's not enough to excuse the vote.
I can't tell you how high inflation would have to be for me to vote for someone who was threatening the lives and livelihoods of so many people.
I think it’s abhorrent to just shrug off the bigotry as though it didn’t matter for the benefit of a bank balance. I just think it’s realistic to say a lot of people just don’t care. And that’s incredibly sad.
The choice here was binary...and the bigotted white man won.
Misinformation is a powerful tool.