jasonreifler.bsky.social
Political Science Prof at University of Southampton. I study misperceptions, fact-checking, and foreign policy attitudes. American in the UK. he/his (y'all whenever possible). Spurs #COYS.
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Lange runs a much more tight lipped operation than Paratici.
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I discount all the rumors that Spurs are interested in Brentford players. I think it is all fan site/ aggregator clickbait speculation. Especially under the very tight lipped Lange regime.
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Something to look forward to! Release it on July 14, and tease that “and we’re marching to Bastille Day.” (Look, only very very rarely does having listened to a lot of Rush in my adolescence ever pay off. Damn right I’m milking it!)
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Pre-cocaine Maradona to Spurs, now here we go, as never reported previously.
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Nice piece! But where is the Rush reference? "Attention all MPs of the party in government, you are less popular"
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Love this! Well done!
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I like to imagine a history of stats packages lecture series between team meetings. Factions develop with irrational attachments. The python-R debate envelopes nearly everyone. There is widespread affection and pity for Stata lovers. Weirdos into SEM become MPlus stans, but nobody cares about them.
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Excel? I’d like to think that a more likely scenario is the Thomas Frank-Johan Lange friendship reaching a sharp break in the hallways at Hotspur Way as the two are seen arguing — almost coming to blows — over python vs R.
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This is a really terrific! I'm not sure I have the stomach to try and compile all of this into a single document for myself (or that I would even remember everything). Thank you!
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My good friend Darren Schreiber loves the Hungarian tradition he picked up at CEU to celebrate with cake when submitting an article. Maybe we should have cake submission celebrations in PAIR at Soton!
There should be a badge of honor in getting rejected. It means you're sending stuff out.
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I’m trying to be more open about my professional disappointments.
Here’s my latest failure or rejection: 06/11/25, European Journal of International Relations, manuscript rejection
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And here's an earlier version of this thread from this site: bsky.app/profile/jaso...
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Here thread on the old site: x.com/JasonReifler...
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“Vaguely” is generous. Best guess — that’s exactly what Lydon wants to convey.
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Great picture. Strawberry, sure. But it could also be a tasty red Leicester. (Huge fan, btw!)
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My work here is fone!
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Alas
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I was thinking roughly level with 3rd/4th in spending, and then luck/variance for a title.
I also want the mythical non-ethically compromised big financial backer. So, there’s always that.
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(PS. I’m a huge fan of your work and am thrilled you responded to one of my posts.)
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Getting to PL/CL title level is prob both spending better, both than rivals and versus past 5 years (outperform on marginal dollar) and (b) spending more wisely (filling squad holes/depth, competing in transfer mkt for better players). Obviously, paying double for Dragusin doesn’t make him better.
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Market inefficiencies are (probably) hard to exploit perpetually. My take on Spurs is that they are far enough below what the other big 5 spend that they need not quite but near Leicester luck to win the PL/CL. And I’m not convinced they spent well last 5 (maybe 10) years.
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To bring point home — In the last 20 years only 5 different clubs have won PL. In last 10, only 3. Investing just enough to make a Leicester like run unlikely rather than a black swan is something, I guess. Or hoping other teams just spend money badly. That’s Man U’s lane (and sadly Spurs too).
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Cool. I took data, added goals against+goal differential, and did simple regressions. £ relationship stronger for GA and GD than G. Not that this means anything for 20 obs/1 season.
Wage coefficient in £M (adj r2)
Goals: .125 (.15)
GA: -.146 (.24)
GD: .272 (.24)
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3) If TF is the one, my take is that Lange has considerable sway within the club (and is evidence that Levy is genuinely trying to create a modern analytics based club). I think that is unambiguously a good thing. Having manager and recruitment aligned is really important.
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You can also fairly interpret this as a Spurs/Daniel Levy subtweet.
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If only she had led with “I believe the title of that briefing was…”
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Double Pivot podcast said something similar (might be Milo's source)
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