jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
Good Politics/Bad Politics - Subscribe! https://goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/ Also I root for the Giants. The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2024.
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What I said the other day: I don't know what a "constitutional crisis" is...I do know what an attack on the constitution looks like, and this is it.
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So. Many. Eggs.
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Also a couple of years ago they switched to the round holiday challah for...I think it might have been shavuot? It was very weird. (And delicious...it's not as if you can't have it out of season!). Anyway it's great having a holiday-friendly local grocery store, even with strange glitches.
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Yes it is. Every year. The weird thing today was they didn't have any of their first-rate store-baked challah and maybe it was all sold out but it was pretty early afternoon and I'm sort of wondering whether somehow the specialty->kosher->passover routine may have accidentally signaled the bakery?
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"...compared to some other contests."
Seriously the DCCC should be pushing these candidates to MSNBC shows, etc.
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Fully agree...but it's early, and until this week Trump's polling wasn't (at least not obviously) signaling trouble worth trying to exploit. Shouldn't be hard to raise money for these now.
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And in this case, possibly kill them off, too.
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Not in terms of his current approval, but his overall unpopularity over time. Even during his honeymoon over the last few months, he couldn't get a plurality to say they liked him. We've never had anyone like that.
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Wait I thought they expanded the playoffs more recently for $$$ from FS1 and whatever NBC's sports network was called, who used it to get cable systems to carry them. Back when that was a thing.
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Good show.
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Yes, and there are also some good polls for him this week, so it's also a question of their adjustments and weighting.
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Anyway 538 has updated and he's still positive, at 48.5/46.6.
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On that last point: I don't discount the focus on primaries or the threat of violence, but also take seriously that congressional GOPers may have sincerely bought the story that "he's popular this time." That's going to be fading, but it still might take time.
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Pretty sure that falling polls (and other indications of anti-Trump feeling) have already helped change how Dems in Congress are acting. For Republicans...well, we'll see. He's still very popular among GOP voters, and they're likely to hear more about the (aging) CBS poll still. But it can't help.
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The reason low info voters voted for him was because the GOP wouldn’t impeach. The GOP wouldn’t go out and say what he did. Normal people think that if Trump really did what the Dems (and reality) accuse him of, he wouldn’t have been “allowed” to run. And now you still have to deal with it.
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Oh if it was the latter I probably wasn’t paying attention.
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Or just that there’s more to democracy than election results. As I think you said the other day. (Or, for that matter, majorities).
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If they say or do anything that's pro-Trump (ahem, Gov. Murphy), have at them. But if it's just mealy-mouthed ineffective platitudes? Ignore it, and amplify the folks who are good at this - and then we *will* hear more from them and less from the lame messagers.
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I suspect most folks think McConnell was an effective opponent for Obama/Biden...but it sure as hell wasn't because of his public speaking skills. Same with Pelosi, who was replacement-level at best as an out-party communicator.