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pitjasperlee.bsky.social
Researching @Hertie School formerly MPhil @DSPI Oxford Broad interests: labour market & industrial policy, pension funds & housing, monetary policy & growth strategies
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My paper on fiscal consolidation, its growth effects and implications for debt sustainability assessments is out in "Review of Evolutionary Political Economy". I review fiscal consolidations in €zone countries in the past and what the research record shows about growth effects.

Canadian travel to the US is absolutely cratering.

holy shit www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

New at @jpube.bsky.social w/ @lukaslehner.bsky.social & @natewilmers.bsky.social: Personal earnings inequality declined in the US from 2010-2022, but household income inequality continued its decades-long rise. What explains the discordant inequality trends? www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

“Imagine the chief executives of America’s top universities and richest corporations…issued a public statement that spoke clearly and loudly about the dangers…” Those who speak out will at least put themselves on the right side of history. www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/w...

A self-coup happening in Turkey! Istanbul mayor and the man to beat Erdoğan--Ekrem İmamoğlu--is arrested. Social media restrictions and ban on demonstrations in place... Threatened by surging opposition, Erdoğan is taking advantage of geopolitics & going full authoritarian! 1/2

We just launched a call for a workshop and special issue proposal on "The Politics of AI"! Excited to see many great submissions—join us in Oxford!

16 Jahre lang kämpfte Sven-Christian Kindler für eine Reform der Schuldenbremse. Jetzt musste er nochmal ran – für den Kompromiss mit Union und SPD. Für @taz.de habe ich Kindler durch seine letzte und vielleicht wichtigste Woche als Abgeordneter begleitet taz.de/Gruenen-Poli...

That’s a fun piece.

They're really putting the FFS into tariffs is what they're doing

Which by boosting aggregate demand might increase employment, tax revenue and Europe's anemic growth

[guy who owns a ton of Pokémon cards]: the United States needs a federal Pokémon card reserve

Trump says tarifs start tomorrow Market tanks Trump inner team buy stocks Trump announces further delay Markets rally Team Trump rake it in And repeat

I wrote a piece on the German elections for @feps-europe.eu feps-europe.eu/the-spds-dra...

"Lost your marbles?" (CDU asked 551 questions on initiatives, think tanks etc. that revceive public money about their ... well, political loyalties.)

Nach der #BTW25 ist vor der Reform der #Schuldenbremse. Wie könnte die in 27 Tagen gelingen? Wir haben im @dezernatzukunft.bsky.social einen Reformvorschlag entwickelt. 🧵 dezernatzukunft.org/eine-oekonom...

I’m hearing a lot of people repeating the line that social democrats are not losing votes to the far right, so that invalidates the thesis that social democrats have lost touch with the working class and should address issues like migration. But this is missing the point

Ohne @die-linke.de wird es keine 2/3 für eine Reform der Schuldenbremse geben. Jetzt kommt es darauf an, ob sie einer Reform auch zustimmen werden, wenn damit in die Bundeswehr und Waffenlieferungen an die UKR investiert wird.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=c99V... Sharp analysis and great Q&A in this one

China's demand remains weak while production capacity is rising rapidly. The only way out is export growth. Its export volumes are growing at a wild 13% clip. The result: a brutal hammering into the export markets of Europe, especially Germany, the incumbent master of export-led growth. 1/2

Opposition from civil society is no doubt important, but it's effective, organized, *unified* political opposition that is needed to reverse the authoritarian slide. That at least is the lesson I draw from (the failures of the opposition parties in) Erdogan's Turkey. Looking at you, Democrats!

Zum Ursprung der Mitbestimmung ein schönes Video der @boeckler-stiftung.bsky.social

Am Sonntag Abend noch schnell ein Blick in die Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung - ich glaube, ich seh’ nicht recht: Lars P. Feld und Wolf Heinrich Reuter fordern allen Ernstes eine Verschärfung der Schuldenbremse.

Merz mobilisiert - nur eben nicht für sich, sondern gegen seine Türöffnung für die AfD. Starkes Bild heute in Berlin (Quelle: @wunderlicher)

[16.10.00] In der Union wird darüber gestritten, ob die Einwanderung Thema des Bundestagswahlkampfes 2002 werden soll. CDU-Chefin Merkel äußert sich zurückhaltend gegenüber einem entsprechenden Vorstoß vom Fraktionsvorsitzenden Merz.

They plagiarized our trillion dollar plagiarism machine!?

If you drink a shot every time you read an underdefined buzzword in the EU's "Competitiveness Compass", you very likely will not make it past page 3. It might reignite your economic dynamism though.

It's happening!

New paper by ischiappacasse.bsky.social & co-author. *Incredible* Pinochet quotes from the secret sessions in which Chile's Junta decided the mother of all pension privatizations. He accused Piñera & his finance allies–"a bunch of crooks"–of engineering a bonanza. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The gap between rich and poor in the impact of #housing costs on incomes (in the UK) has been growing since the 1960s, but through the 2000s it became a chasm… (the IFS recently published key data on this too)

We mutter a lot about housing in the UK. BUT IT'S 44% MORE EXPENSIVE THAN THE OECD AVERAGE. www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...

Interesting nuance in the post-literate society discourse: The OECD study showing falling adult literacy finds the decline is concentrated among middle-aged and older adults. Young people’s literacy is *markedly higher* today than a decade ago. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/675330...

Nippon Steel & US Steel are suing over CFIUS process and presidential block. If their allegations are true, this could have major implications for foreign investment reviews. 1/

Back when the West German social market economy was praised as the most successful case of efficient use of *fiscal policy* for the promotion of mass consumption and an equitable distribution of income.

Mein geschätzter Kollege Ali Bargu präsentiert nächsten Montag, den 13. Januar, das neue OECD #Toolkit zur Bekämpfung von #Wohnungslosigkeit. Der Workshop finded von 11h-12h15 digital (per Zoom) statt, organisiert vom #OECD Berlin Centre. Zur Anmeldung geht's hier: events.oecd-berlin.de/358

Fascinating paper by Claudia Goldin on drivers of low fertility in advanced economies. Countries where economic progress outstrips social progress (in particular, gender equality in household division of labour) see the most rapid falls in fertility.. www.nber.org/papers/w33311

„Consumption of red wine in #France has fallen by about 90 per cent since the 1970s, according to […] an industry association. Total wine consumption, spanning reds, whites and rosés, is down more than 80 per cent in France since 1945“ on.ft.com/4gBSkPK h/t @marginalrev.blogsky.venki.dev

A serious question: how will comparative politics respond to the problem of under-powered research (see below)? I hope the the field will lean back into our strength (comparative case study) but I worry it will only tip toward big data. 1: from JOP: shorturl.at/aVJB2 2: from APSR: shorturl.at/sbPUi