I've been encountering over the past few days the claim that the planet is warming twice as fast as predicted. This is entirely untruthful and unhelpful.
The planet is warming AS fast as predicted, which is cause enough for dramatic action.
The truth is bad enough!
The planet is warming AS fast as predicted, which is cause enough for dramatic action.
The truth is bad enough!
Comments
1) 5-95% range is 🔼. Assume climate is getting more unstable so harder to predict?
2) What caused big drop in early 90s?
3) Why is future mean not straight line? I get there is natural variation: solar activity, orbit etc. Is model taking this into account?
Big measured drop in ?1993 back to the 0C baseline. Lowest measurement since c1985 and never anywhere close since.
Just wondered what it was.
If it is the eruption then the model must be a reanalysis, since it wouldn't have been able to predict the eruption.
https://limotsnewsletter.com/2025/02/08/apl-a-lost-programming-language-an-era-of-fun-and-games-gone-by/
https://limotsnewsletter.com/2024/09/01/fighting-the-swamp/
https://bsky.app/profile/hausfath.bsky.social/post/3lhf6au3nzk26
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I think you’re capable of better logic than that.
https://bsky.app/profile/conways-law.bsky.social/post/3lhcm4shifc25
First you said there were no large efforts to study mitigation.
Now you are saying there are efforts but you’ve deemed them inadequate.
Is that right?
Join us tomorrow evening (2/11) for our webinar on the real impact of nukes on climate change
Spoiler alert: It hurts our efforts not helps them!
Register here
https://www.mobilize.us/fww/event/74...
Unaffordable and uninsurable, sure. But not uninhabitable.
https://theconversation.com/scientists-understood-physics-of-climate-change-in-the-1800s-thanks-to-a-woman-named-eunice-foote-164687
But don't you think it's worth considering the risk of high-end climate sensitivity? Considering worst case scenarios should not inhibit action, quite the opposite.
And there's enough disagreement about ECS that I for one am not confident it's below 4°C.
Existential and highly complex supply chains including for FF wd have to survive societal uphevals from the compounding climate impacts on bad social politics and unadjusted infrastructure..
While I place a hold at the library, I am genuinely curious what you make of the Hansen paper on aerosols and Tierney on paleoclimate periods being warmer than we previously thought.
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00139157.2025.2434494#d1e988
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024AV001356
I often wonder whether we should consider having mandatory retirement ages in our society, but I'm not asserting that's what explains his recent research results. I just don't want to have to worry about it basically I guess.
And crucially, be honest about what we don't know.
Maybe this was done to stave off critique from fossil fuel funded interests (understandable) but it all sows distrust.
But that's commendable and I'm excited to read your book.
I just think ~in general~ we need more careful analysis of tail risks like the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries has called for
https://actuaries.org.uk/document-library/thought-leadership/thought-leadership-campaigns/climate-papers/planetary-solvency-finding-our-balance-with-nature/
https://bsky.app/profile/davidho.bsky.social/post/3lhgibxlrus2r
Onward to the cliff. Keep marching.
But if you’re worried about the survival of several, if not all, species then yes. Sound an alarm.