"Here the numbers as they actually exist in the real world:
Transgender: 1 percent
Muslim: 1 percent
Jewish: 2 percent
Black: 12 percent
Live in New York City: 2 percent
Gay or lesbian: 3 percent"
If they're this divorced from reality I guarantee these folks cannot conceive magnitude of $1bn
Transgender: 1 percent
Muslim: 1 percent
Jewish: 2 percent
Black: 12 percent
Live in New York City: 2 percent
Gay or lesbian: 3 percent"
If they're this divorced from reality I guarantee these folks cannot conceive magnitude of $1bn
Reposted from
Omar Wasow
“In 2022, YouGov asked “What percentage of Americans do you think are ___?”
The results were hilarious.
Trans: 21%
Muslim: 27%
Jewish: 30%
Black: 41%
Live in NYC: 30%
Gay or lesbian: 30%
The errors are off by orders of magnitude. The trans estimation by 2,000%.”
www.thebulwark.com/p/americans-...
The results were hilarious.
Trans: 21%
Muslim: 27%
Jewish: 30%
Black: 41%
Live in NYC: 30%
Gay or lesbian: 30%
The errors are off by orders of magnitude. The trans estimation by 2,000%.”
www.thebulwark.com/p/americans-...
Comments
https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/41556-americans-misestimate-small-subgroups-population
It's a technology with reproducible results.
They could be answering as a troll.
If they got pay for each correct answer, would answer truthfully.
One
Hundred
Million
And make it a huge, fearful thing.
Which just goes to the point that the vast majority of us are functionally innumerate.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/389792/lgbt-identification-ticks-up.aspx
And that is why we need tort reform, among other things.
Strangely missing
1 million seconds ≈ 11 days
1 billion seconds ≈32 years
1 trillion seconds ≈ 32,000 years
In those cases I like to bring up him much Americans spend a year aggregate on potato chips and then soda… let alone beer.
In those cases I like to bring up how much Americans spend a year aggregate on potato chips and then soda… let alone beer.
If you had $11,000 a day every day for the signing of the constitution until today… you would not have a billion dollars.
If you had $3,000,000 a day for each of those days… Musk would still have more money.
If you had $11,000 a day every day from the signing of the constitution until today… you would not have one billion dollars.
If you had $3,000,000 a day for each of those days… Musk would still have more money.
Not only is that the reason these numbers are so scewed it also gives them a winning issue to attack you when the vast majority of population thinks there are two sexes.
But sure keep talking about it while a disaster like Trump wins elections.
or that NYC is really, REALLY big
Also, I think that the average person doesn’t understand percentages/basic math.
Black is around 14% per both polls and the US Census
https://census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/RHI225222
https://census.gov/library/stories/2021/11/census-bureau-survey-explores-sexual-orientation-and-gender-identity.html
The number also grows when looking at non-government polls, so it's prob low.
https://www.usreligioncensus.org/sites/default/files/2023-10/Intro-NationalOverview-Grammich.pdf
None of this takes away from the main point of the post, just addressing data accuracy.
Follow back when you get a chance? Thanks. 💙
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0fKBhvDjuy0
Do minorities estimate their own size more accurately?
What is the distribution? are some groups more accurate, or more accurate about some things?
If you tell them there are 25 million illegal immigrants and 330 million people living in the US they say that's 30%
They are very good with the millions there but current day NYC runs pretty much at full occupancy most years. And millions more from ‘just outside NYC’ show up for work each day.
I however am surprised. I would have guessed higher on most.
(Also, the wording apparently doesn‘t include bi- or pansexual.)