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jwfurlong.bsky.social
Research Fellow: Active Travel Academy, Westminster Uni Author: The Changing Electoral Map of England & Wales Past: Targeting & Analysis Manager, Labour Party Likes: urbanism, geography, politics Lives: Calderdale Director: pod-caldervalley.co.uk
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In the spirit of @stephenkb.bsky.social ‘s image of public opinion on immigration as “I want a pony in my flat with no costs attached” public opinion on social care seems to be “I want a magical care machine that costs nothing”

This result really emphasises quite how far reaching Reform are right now. This is not 'left behind' Britain. It's a fairly middle class and pleasant part of Halifax that has moved around between Tories, LD and Labour. It is what many people would call a fairly 'moderate' place.

Disability benefit cuts to hit 700,000 families already in poverty, DWP forecasts show

I think genuinely, Warsaw is on the cusp of joining the ranks of great cycling cities. #BuildItAndTheyWillCome 🚲 A concerted effort to build a real citywide network of dedicated routes is reaping rewards, with thousands of people now getting around by bike on the city's main avenues every day. 🚲

The latest carbon emission figures for 2023, released last month, show that transport (not including international aviation and shipping) is responsible for 29% of the UK's domestic emissions, with most of that (89%) due to road transport.

Labour's biggest issue is neither being too socially conserative or not socially conservative enough. It's cuts. People have had enough.

A friend who is a trans woman and who plays women’s football received an email from the FA about the decision which contains this paragraph. Free therapy to cope with the fact you’ve been transphobic bigots, fucking brilliant.

I'm in @labourlist.bsky.social before locals later this week, arguing that drawing the right lessons from a result is almost as important as whether you won or lost – and that the party has been stuck over-correcting from losing the Uxbridge by-election for 2 years: labourlist.org/2025/04/loca...

The correlation between working class occupations and UK party vote share, 1979–2024 Taken from @drjennings.bsky.social @jwfurlong.bsky.social Gerry Stoker and @lawrencemckay.bsky.social's article on the rise of place-based politics. Read now:

Got back last night from focus groups this weekend in Beverley, Hull,Scunthorpe & Peterborough and without doubt the disillusionment was the worst I’ve heard, in every group it was anger; despondency or misery about the state of Britain that doesn’t feel sustainable.

This - by an EHRC Commissioner - is a *defence* of the impact of the Supreme Court judgement. The impact is obviously, and quite deliberately, to exclude trans people from public spaces, and to claim that it's fine, legally, politically and morally. Absolutely shameful.

Does support for Low Traffic Neighbourhoods (LTNs) affect the re-election prospects of Labour councillors in London? Despite backlash/controversy, we find no evidence that publicly supporting LTNs had any negative impacts on electoral outcomes in 2022. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

One of hundreds of people abducted by ICE and sold to slavery in El Salvador was a 19 year old with no criminal record in the US or Venezuela and no tattoos of any kind. An ICE kidnapper who grabbed him outside his house said, "He's not the one." The other said, "Take him anyway." So they did.

Grabbed at his appointment to become a citizen. Is this who we are? 😕🇺🇸

The agency forecasts weather, manages fisheries, and researches the world's oceans, atmosphere, and climate. The proposed budget cuts would slash the climate work entirely.

Research by @drjennings.bsky.social @jwfurlong.bsky.social Gerry Stoker and @lawrencemckay.bsky.social finds the electorate now more volatile, discontented, dealigned and fragmented. Read the blog now: politicalquarterly.org.uk/blog/fragmen... #UKpol #politics

This is a really cool paper on the socialisation effects of studying at University. Surprisingly, the effects (moving in a leftward, liberal direction) are biggest for STEM students and those who move away from home to study, attend a single campus uni, and who live in ‘university towns’ and London.

Please can someone show this video to someone in our government? Induced demand is not difficult to understand. Building more roads is not going to reduce congestion. Nor is it good for the planet - you know that thing that's ON FIRE. youtu.be/CVq7XOXkg1U

Have a new article out today! And @elizabethsim0n.bsky.social has summed it up much better than I can!

"Emissions from cycling can be more than 30x lower for each trip than driving a fossil fuel car, and about 10x lower than driving an electric one."

chef’s kiss

Tax and benefit policies have cut incomes since the election, with low-to-middle income households being the most affected. Households in the bottom half of the income distribution will lose on average 1.4 per cent of their income, compared to 0.7 per cent for households in the top half.

The c£300m current allocation for ATE looks even sadder against the £9bn+ Lower Thames Crossing announcement yesterday. Don't worry Betty, we'll force car dependency on you in ten years time. If you can afford the insurance that is.

“One young man sobbed when a guard pushed him to the floor. He said, ‘I’m not a gang member. I’m gay. I’m a barber.’ I believed him. *** He “began to whimper,” as his head was roughly shaved, “folding his hands in prayer as his hair fell.” He “asked for his mother & cried as he was slapped again.”

Why is there ANY debate? 🤦‍♀️ 20mph in Wales meant about 100 fewer people killed or seriously injured in a year. “There is, perhaps, a lesson here for politicians: sometimes it can be best to ignore the noisiest voices, and take the evidence-based course.” www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...

📣 CALLING ALL QUANT SOCIAL SCIENTISTS! 📣 Do you know of causally identified research that estimates the effect of higher education on political attitudes? @elizabethsim0n.bsky.social and I are currently working on a meta-analysis on this question and we need your help!

Latest issue! With @colmpm.bsky.social @pjsloman.bsky.social @gerryhassan.bsky.social @profsob.bsky.social @tjoliver.bsky.social @jwfurlong.bsky.social @lawrencemckay.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @martamiori.bsky.social @profrosiecamp.bsky.social   onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/1467923x...

Very hard to understand at this point what the Labour Party is actually doing and why. Is this really what they believe in? If it's not, why are they doing this? And why do they not realise that it's not just cruel but also alienating to all kinds of voters?

Great news for Camden—removing traffic will improve air quality, make streets safer, and support local businesses. Backed by £500,000 from the London Air Quality Fund, this is a strong step towards a Low Emission Neighbourhood and a fairer, greener city for all.

Another study adding to the evidence from Talinn, 60+ in London and elsewhere: you can make Public Transport good and cheap (even free) and it has little impact on car use. You have to actively restrict driving by making it less convenient and more expensive if you want mode shift.

Please lecture us more about free speech in Europe.

Zelensky's finest achievement to date may be in not lamping these cunts

Kicking off his presentation @alexclegg.bsky.social looks at the internatioanal picture on child poverty. For a rich country the UK has a pretty terrible record. We are among the worst of advanced economies when it comes to the share of our children living below the poverty line. This must change.

“If you had to guess the leading cause of death for children and young people around the world, what would you say? Malaria perhaps? Pneumonia? Suicide? They’re all high up there, but no, it’s road collisions.” www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

One of the most important studies on how so many of us have an unconscious bias in favour of cars. @ianwalker.bsky.social great work! And good to see it out now :)

I was honored to be interviewed for the @cnbc.com special "How America Got Hooked on Cars," and in such great company (with historian @norton.bsky.social and urban planner @egoldwyn.bsky.social). www.youtube.com/watch?v=egD1...

You can ignore climate change. The political system can ignore climate change. But the insurance industry cannot ignore climate change.

Well done to the Guardian for mentioning the driver in the headline. See? It can be done www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

👏 “After one year of the zone, nitrogen dioxide from traffic was lower, GP visits for respiratory illnesses were down by 25% and those for heart problems decreased by 24%”

Welcome @transportforall.bsky.social so very good to see you on here. Follow for excellent and thoughtful work on transport accessibility and the importance of co-design of services lead by people with lived experience of disability.

Our analysis of the geography of GE2024 is now out in @politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

a driver used a pickup truck as a weapon to attack dozens of people in new orleans this morning and the news reflexively uses the passive voice to avoid explaining this

I note the estimated cost of this climate-friendly, regional economic inequality-busting transport infrastructure project is the same as latest cost estimates for the climate-trashing reopening of Hammersmith Bridge to cars so people can drive their SUVs between two of the richest boroughs in UK