In Leonhardt’s analysis, the Democrats, the party that has won the popular vote in 7 out of the last 8 presidential elections, is presented as the party that has taken a wrong turn and not the GOP, which won 3 straight presidential elections from 80-92 and seemed poised to become the dominant party.
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His argument is that only 40% of the country have college degrees. Dayton is actually the aberration - San Fran, NYC, and Chicago all have ~ 45% college educated population.
There are a lot of people who have not noticed the Millennium happened.