Excited to join @ezraklein to talk through what happened in 2024.
There's a turnout story this cycle, but not the one we're used to talking about. With less-engaged and less-likely voters becoming more Republican, a larger turnout meant a more GOP electorate.
There's a turnout story this cycle, but not the one we're used to talking about. With less-engaged and less-likely voters becoming more Republican, a larger turnout meant a more GOP electorate.
Comments
I think institutions have a negative affect in the way that the Constitution does not.
It is useful to know the extent to which this bothers people in terms of how we message the moment
It’s no wonder trust is lost when this party keeps trying to to tack to middle that isn’t really a middle.
Your charts are so illuminating, David. Thanks for taking the time to explain them.
Republicans won 18 year old white men, white women, and men of color, and doubled their support with men under 25.
On the flipside, Democrats actually increased their margins with high-information voters from 2020.
What changed this cycle is Democrats' massive favorability decline and Republicans trust advantages on the issues that mattered most to voters this cycle (the economy/inflation/cost of living).
As Democrats try to shape the story against Trump, the most effective critiques of Trump are actually pretty similar to the ways Democrats ran against Mitt Romney: he’s giving huge tax breaks to the wealthy and trying to cut programs like Social Security and Medicare.
https://bsky.app/profile/volts.wtf/post/3lkohs3je3c2g
My hourly statement that our media systems are broken.
I'm all for the civil war. I'm all for denying them healthcare and letting them get killed in military action in China, Europe, Mexico, etc. Empathy is is sin, got it.
But I'm really tired of every presidential election having earth-shattering historic swings with certain groups. I'd like just one normal election please
He pretty much made up, lies that you just moved on from so fast that I think you’re taking Chuck Todd pills
Social Security is sending out checks to 135-year-olds?
Could just be some people are ok with overlooking those problems if they think the economy will improve (and if so, GOP is in trouble come midterms — with a trade war that’s gonna plunge us into recession.)
Your thesis towards the end seems to be that Republicans will do better without Trump, and I'm suss, and here's why.
If Republicans have such a dramatic trust advantage, why was Donald Trumps victory so relatively narrow?
Like, are the people who are polled who don't like Donald Trump smaller than the MAGA voters that tip the election for Donald Trump? and would non-DJT keep those voters?
A slide Ezra mentioned was most important seems missing in this thread.
People want to hear concrete ways that we are going to improve people's lives. Less than they want to hear about the terrible things that Trump etc is doing.
(Edited 11:07 AM via @skeetsapp.com)
(Edited 11:08 AM via @skeetsapp.com)