Yeah it's an incredibly provincial attitude from Americans. In the global context, the swings against the incumbent party in the US were trivially small compared to the punishment voters offered almost every other incumbent party regardless of ideology. Tweaking policy or message was just not enough
Reposted from
Daniel Gilmore
A lot of ppl still refuse to grapple with the fact that Democrats main sin in 2024 was being the ones who happened to be holding the bag at that particularly moment
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instead, millions of potential deaths, descent into fascism, end of American century
The amount of information it conveys and the stories it tells are almost endless.
https://bsky.app/profile/dxmnkd316.bsky.social/post/3lesiyxagl22o
I don't think she was an especially great candidate but she wasn't especially poor either.
Thinking of stuff like using useful idiots like Tim Pool & Co
Might be that other liberal democracies are likewise sclerotic?
I do think identity/authority are more what’s lacking, it wasn’t policy!
The original chart comes with labels on highlighting
https://www.ft.com/content/e8ac09ea-c300-4249-af7d-109003afb893
The point is not that the democrats lost.
It's that they lost to donald effing trump.
Like South Africa and Turkey and Venezuela saw incumbency shocks.
he seemingly agrees she was in a tough spot either way
Neither fair nor true, but sadly probably a better path. Remember, the expectation at the time was the race is all about peeling off a handful of votes in a few states
She'd be smearing her own administration history.
My guess is that it’s 10-20% of her margin of loss.
And fwiw, I attribute her loss 70% to short campaign, 20% to bad candidate and 10% to bad campaign.
Some thought of it, little could be done with it.
2016/2020/2024 is the electorate repeatedly saying, "things are very very close"
Joe Biden won in a historic popular vote rout (almost certainly never to be duplicated in our lifetimes!) & the largest Electoral College win, against an against an _incumbent_ in over 80 years
cuz Buddy Cianci definitely attempted to run after a conviction (while literally serving a suspended sentence from prison). The RI SC ruled against the run, but that def doesn’t mean that US SC woulda ruled the same.