It makes by far the most sense to read this as part of the overall post-COVID anti-incumbency backlash across the world. But I’m genuinely struggling to square this with the 2022 results—more time for angst from inflation to kick in? Dobbs less immediate? Both?
Comments
If he didn't duff COVID so badly he'd have cruised to re-election.
& "if Harris wanted to do all these things, why hasn't she done them while she's VP, huh?"
& ppl NOT seeing that inflation was (obvs) worldwide because (obvs) covid, but US got a softer landing because of Biden
Trump provides scapegoat groups per fascist handbook, & enough ppl lap that up & blame Biden for covid economy shocks & the media doesn't inform them about how contextually worldwide we did really well & can continue to do better
They report vibes, which beget vibes
I am not looking forward to post-democracy America, though. This will be rough.
Plus inflation came afterwards if I remember correctly.
The media issue is a meta problem. Treating Trump like a normal candidate with serious policies contribute to lower information voters treating him as such.
But let's not kid ourselves, the results show a bunch of women walked in to vote, voted for abortion AND Trump.
The perversion of “Be the change you want,”
2020 was 81m vs 74m, which is a difference of only 18m votes.
I have no idea where this 50m number is coming from, unless it was when only 2/3s of the vote was reported last night
Sometimes the simplest explanation is the most accurate.
(See also: Arizona electing Trump and Gallego while enshrining abortion rights in their Constitution.)
I think more people need to honestly ask that question, and consider what would be necessary to make sure it happens.
1) far more people vote in presidential elections
2) lagged effect
3) Dobbs was more salient because it just happened
All these middle class folks got mortgages dirt cheap, but then could move and nice big trucks but getting more was expensive because the Fed kept rates up
And that couldn't stand.